<![CDATA[What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO?]]>What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO?

(Please no sarcasm and other common noise in the comments. Just your best guesses at the facts)

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/topic/858633fa-5e94-4c46-84bd-0f88be2c5f49/what-driving-forces-and-restraining-forces-are-there-to-the-trump-administration-leaving-natoRSS for NodeMon, 13 Apr 2026 10:39:08 GMTThu, 09 Apr 2026 07:31:33 GMT60<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Mon, 13 Apr 2026 06:23:51 GMT]]>@malte as far as I understand he needs a 2/3 majority in the house (or was it the senate?) to approve leaving + then the other chamber has to ratify that.
I realize he has done a lot of things without asking congress & some of it is being investigated wrt legality. However, I believe all the democrats and quite a lot of the republicans are still sane enough to not want to leave NATO. I think this will be much harder for him to do, than the other shit he's pulled (or he would have left already)

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://social.data.coop/users/BogWitch/statuses/116395961979242621https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://social.data.coop/users/BogWitch/statuses/116395961979242621Mon, 13 Apr 2026 06:23:51 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Mon, 13 Apr 2026 06:15:06 GMT]]>@siggi It's a bit hard to see what the US gets out of leaving NATO. It will lead to losses in the U.S. weapons industry, and they will lose access to overseas bases. So I guess the obstacle is common sense, which obviously does not necessarily restrain Trump.

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://mastodon.social/ap/users/116143319837404153/statuses/116395927545288946https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://mastodon.social/ap/users/116143319837404153/statuses/116395927545288946Mon, 13 Apr 2026 06:15:06 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Fri, 10 Apr 2026 07:12:13 GMT]]>@malte

@anderspuck proberly have an idea?

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/siggi/statuses/116379165223098160https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/siggi/statuses/116379165223098160Fri, 10 Apr 2026 07:12:13 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:46:48 GMT]]>@malte Really interesting points. I think it's fully possible that there are forces affecting the US foreign policy agenda without a systemic analysis of their actions. One example of this might be US America First style policies that disrupt key aspects of the US ability to project power. Leaving Nato might be one such policy. If the US leaves Nato, Nato members face the challenge of developing strategy independently, possibly disregarding US interests.

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://social.spejset.org/users/jonben/statuses/116376470059870141https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://social.spejset.org/users/jonben/statuses/116376470059870141Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:46:48 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:33:54 GMT]]>@jonben Seen from that perspective, staying in the NATO potentially keeps you invested in a paradigm that goes against your goal.

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/malte/statuses/116376419367626542https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/malte/statuses/116376419367626542Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:33:54 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:33:20 GMT]]>@jonben The question that raises for me is whether the Trump administration is actually on a path where exercising global hegemony is their goal or not? At the very least, there's contradictory forces within the administration on that issue. Parts of the government seems to have decided years ago that continuing to weild that kind of force is coming with too big of price and perhaps too little gain compared to turning the focus back towards the American continent.

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/malte/statuses/116376417130411879https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/malte/statuses/116376417130411879Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:33:20 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:23:51 GMT]]>@malte A restraining force keeping the US in Nato. I think it makes it easier for the US to exercise hegemonic power with and over Nato allies

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://social.spejset.org/users/jonben/statuses/116376379842700218https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://social.spejset.org/users/jonben/statuses/116376379842700218Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:23:51 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:19:53 GMT]]>@jonben So is that a driving or restraining force to leave NATO for the Trump administration? I see both options as possible, so I'm curious

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/malte/statuses/116376364216965415https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/malte/statuses/116376364216965415Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:19:53 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:15:09 GMT]]>@malte I would say Nato-membership is a bargaining chip bolstering US-hegemonic power in that it compels members to put up with some of the imperialist BS of the US.

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://social.spejset.org/users/jonben/statuses/116376345600934856https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://social.spejset.org/users/jonben/statuses/116376345600934856Thu, 09 Apr 2026 19:15:09 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Thu, 09 Apr 2026 13:04:29 GMT]]>I can too. Driving forces: That the US has lost every war they've started since Vietnam. The last 50 years has been a slow decline of American hegemony and thus war is less effective for the US to assert itself. Parts of the state probably knows this and tries to influence the Trump administration (I partly see America first in this light).

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/malte/statuses/116374888113857420https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/malte/statuses/116374888113857420Thu, 09 Apr 2026 13:04:29 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Thu, 09 Apr 2026 12:56:40 GMT]]>@henry That's sounds like a very likely scenario. So driving forces being withdrawing from global hegemony (America first) and restraining forces being that the US is so locked-in that there is so much (built environment) to withdraw from physically

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/malte/statuses/116374857368982071https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/users/malte/statuses/116374857368982071Thu, 09 Apr 2026 12:56:40 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to What driving forces and restraining forces are there to the Trump administration leaving NATO? on Thu, 09 Apr 2026 10:29:49 GMT]]>@malte could imagine them announcing it without much forethought, seeing it as a means of paying lip service to campaign promises about america first and no new wars and so on, and then getting bogged down for years in the question of what will happen to their air base in ramstein afterwards

]]>https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/ap/users/116108031370731377/statuses/116374279917054075https://forum.fedi.dk/post/https://radikal.social/ap/users/116108031370731377/statuses/116374279917054075Thu, 09 Apr 2026 10:29:49 GMT