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FARVEL BIG TECH
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  3. And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift.

And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift.

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  • jmeowmeow@hachyderm.ioJ jmeowmeow@hachyderm.io

    @raganwald Aw crud, guess I should transfer the last of my employee stock. The corruption of the stock index criteria is absolutely a grab on everyone's conservative retirement stock funds. It wasn't enough to let people choose risky mixes in their investments and to inflate the market generally with pension savings.

    Check kiting via circular investment wasn't enough.

    raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR This user is from outside of this forum
    raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR This user is from outside of this forum
    raganwald@social.bau-ha.us
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #3

    @jmeowmeow Also, if any of them had an ironclad business model, they'd gleefully allow their "competitors" to flame out and fail.

    That they are supporting each other tells us that they know that if one fails before they all offload the junk onto the public, there will be a run on all their stocks.

    jmeowmeow@hachyderm.ioJ drwho@masto.hackers.townD 2 Replies Last reply
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    • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

      @jmeowmeow Also, if any of them had an ironclad business model, they'd gleefully allow their "competitors" to flame out and fail.

      That they are supporting each other tells us that they know that if one fails before they all offload the junk onto the public, there will be a run on all their stocks.

      jmeowmeow@hachyderm.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
      jmeowmeow@hachyderm.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
      jmeowmeow@hachyderm.io
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #4

      @raganwald 100%, and if you and I are seeing it, why is the stock market not already in free fall, with Blackrock (to take one large fund manager) suing Standard and Poor's for bad faith?

      raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR 1 Reply Last reply
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      • jmeowmeow@hachyderm.ioJ jmeowmeow@hachyderm.io

        @raganwald 100%, and if you and I are seeing it, why is the stock market not already in free fall, with Blackrock (to take one large fund manager) suing Standard and Poor's for bad faith?

        raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR This user is from outside of this forum
        raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR This user is from outside of this forum
        raganwald@social.bau-ha.us
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #5

        @jmeowmeow I think the idea is that since it's a passive fund, they aren't incentivized to make money for the fund, nor penalized for losing money for the fund. Their job is simply to keep it properly balanced and collect low fees for their trouble.

        I may have an overly simplistic view of passive funds.

        jmeowmeow@hachyderm.ioJ 1 Reply Last reply
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        • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

          @jmeowmeow I think the idea is that since it's a passive fund, they aren't incentivized to make money for the fund, nor penalized for losing money for the fund. Their job is simply to keep it properly balanced and collect low fees for their trouble.

          I may have an overly simplistic view of passive funds.

          jmeowmeow@hachyderm.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
          jmeowmeow@hachyderm.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
          jmeowmeow@hachyderm.io
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #6

          @raganwald No penalty for passive accessory to financial malfeasance, you're probably right. Not a bang but a whimper, if that. The dog that did not bark.

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

            And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift. Google agreeing to rent compute from xAI (cough, "SpaceX") magically makes them eligible for inclusion in the S&P500.

            Americans, they are looting your life savings, the ones you earned through labour that they are gleefully replacing. Your descendants will never have the chance you had.

            https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/05/google-will-pay-spacex-920m-per-month-for-compute/

            ilia@phpc.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
            ilia@phpc.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
            ilia@phpc.social
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #7

            @raganwald Not actually happening
            https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2026/06/sp-500-blocks-fast-spacex-entry-wont-waive-rule-for-unprofitable-ai-firms/

            raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

              And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift. Google agreeing to rent compute from xAI (cough, "SpaceX") magically makes them eligible for inclusion in the S&P500.

              Americans, they are looting your life savings, the ones you earned through labour that they are gleefully replacing. Your descendants will never have the chance you had.

              https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/05/google-will-pay-spacex-920m-per-month-for-compute/

              pizzademon@mastodon.onlineP This user is from outside of this forum
              pizzademon@mastodon.onlineP This user is from outside of this forum
              pizzademon@mastodon.online
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #8

              @raganwald Soooo, no one wants to use their AI stuff except some government contracts for white supremacist agents or something. So Google gets to buy the compute running on dirty energy to meet their demands without sullying their rep while they build out. Apple doesn't want to play but feels they have to meet the market so it's paying for Google AI to put inside Siri on iOS devices. Meanwhile, doesn't Google still pay Apple to make Google search the default on iPhone?
              Am I getting all this?

              raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • ilia@phpc.socialI ilia@phpc.social

                @raganwald Not actually happening
                https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2026/06/sp-500-blocks-fast-spacex-entry-wont-waive-rule-for-unprofitable-ai-firms/

                raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR This user is from outside of this forum
                raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR This user is from outside of this forum
                raganwald@social.bau-ha.us
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #9

                @ilia That is from Thursday, June 4th. What the S&P 500 said is that they are not changing the rules for xAI ("SpaceX').

                Whereas, xAI announced the Google deal the next day. The assertion is that adding the Google deal to their S-1 allows them to claim profitability, thus making them eligible under the existing rules for inclusion without changes to the rules.

                I believe that both sets of reporting can be true at the same time.

                UPDATE: They still must wait four quarters.

                osma@mas.toO n_dimension@infosec.exchangeN 2 Replies Last reply
                0
                • pizzademon@mastodon.onlineP pizzademon@mastodon.online

                  @raganwald Soooo, no one wants to use their AI stuff except some government contracts for white supremacist agents or something. So Google gets to buy the compute running on dirty energy to meet their demands without sullying their rep while they build out. Apple doesn't want to play but feels they have to meet the market so it's paying for Google AI to put inside Siri on iOS devices. Meanwhile, doesn't Google still pay Apple to make Google search the default on iPhone?
                  Am I getting all this?

                  raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR This user is from outside of this forum
                  raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR This user is from outside of this forum
                  raganwald@social.bau-ha.us
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #10

                  @PizzaDemon Seemingly so! But it gets better.

                  Google owns an estimated 5% stake in xAI ("SpaceX"). Now if xAI can obtain a valuation of 90+ times revenue, and Google gives them 11 billion a year, that makes the entire company ✌🏽worth ✌🏽990 billion more. 5% of 990 billion is 49.5 billion, so by promising to pay 11 billion they inflate their own equity by 49.5 billion.

                  All they have to do is sell their stake and then exercise their 90 day cancellation option.

                  What a great company to go public.

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

                    And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift. Google agreeing to rent compute from xAI (cough, "SpaceX") magically makes them eligible for inclusion in the S&P500.

                    Americans, they are looting your life savings, the ones you earned through labour that they are gleefully replacing. Your descendants will never have the chance you had.

                    https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/05/google-will-pay-spacex-920m-per-month-for-compute/

                    gdinwiddie@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                    gdinwiddie@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                    gdinwiddie@mastodon.social
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #11

                    @raganwald Diversify into European and Asian stocks.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

                      And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift. Google agreeing to rent compute from xAI (cough, "SpaceX") magically makes them eligible for inclusion in the S&P500.

                      Americans, they are looting your life savings, the ones you earned through labour that they are gleefully replacing. Your descendants will never have the chance you had.

                      https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/05/google-will-pay-spacex-920m-per-month-for-compute/

                      katrinakatrinka@infosec.exchangeK This user is from outside of this forum
                      katrinakatrinka@infosec.exchangeK This user is from outside of this forum
                      katrinakatrinka@infosec.exchange
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #12

                      @raganwald
                      S&P 500 should know to wait as Elon is always promising and not delivering.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • jmeowmeow@hachyderm.ioJ jmeowmeow@hachyderm.io

                        @raganwald Aw crud, guess I should transfer the last of my employee stock. The corruption of the stock index criteria is absolutely a grab on everyone's conservative retirement stock funds. It wasn't enough to let people choose risky mixes in their investments and to inflate the market generally with pension savings.

                        Check kiting via circular investment wasn't enough.

                        poleguy@mastodon.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
                        poleguy@mastodon.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
                        poleguy@mastodon.social
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #13

                        @jmeowmeow @raganwald where do you run to? Where do you hide?

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

                          @ilia That is from Thursday, June 4th. What the S&P 500 said is that they are not changing the rules for xAI ("SpaceX').

                          Whereas, xAI announced the Google deal the next day. The assertion is that adding the Google deal to their S-1 allows them to claim profitability, thus making them eligible under the existing rules for inclusion without changes to the rules.

                          I believe that both sets of reporting can be true at the same time.

                          UPDATE: They still must wait four quarters.

                          osma@mas.toO This user is from outside of this forum
                          osma@mas.toO This user is from outside of this forum
                          osma@mas.to
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #14

                          S&P made it clear the index inclusion rules would continue to require 4 quarters of reported profitability. Being able to "claim" future profitability doesn't enter into it. SpaceX's inclusion in NASDAQ 100 and Russell indices is bad enough (Vanguard etc) but they're not going to be in SP500 for the next year, unless the rules change. And hopefully, never.
                          @raganwald @ilia

                          webology@mastodon.socialW 1 Reply Last reply
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                          • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

                            And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift. Google agreeing to rent compute from xAI (cough, "SpaceX") magically makes them eligible for inclusion in the S&P500.

                            Americans, they are looting your life savings, the ones you earned through labour that they are gleefully replacing. Your descendants will never have the chance you had.

                            https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/05/google-will-pay-spacex-920m-per-month-for-compute/

                            eestileib@tech.lgbtE This user is from outside of this forum
                            eestileib@tech.lgbtE This user is from outside of this forum
                            eestileib@tech.lgbt
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #15

                            @raganwald

                            Now's a good time to read _The Great Crash 1929_, by John Kenneth Galbraith.

                            It's fun!

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

                              And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift. Google agreeing to rent compute from xAI (cough, "SpaceX") magically makes them eligible for inclusion in the S&P500.

                              Americans, they are looting your life savings, the ones you earned through labour that they are gleefully replacing. Your descendants will never have the chance you had.

                              https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/05/google-will-pay-spacex-920m-per-month-for-compute/

                              notyourfanboy@kolektiva.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                              notyourfanboy@kolektiva.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                              notyourfanboy@kolektiva.social
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #16

                              @raganwald
                              Not having any kids keeps playing out for me.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • osma@mas.toO osma@mas.to

                                S&P made it clear the index inclusion rules would continue to require 4 quarters of reported profitability. Being able to "claim" future profitability doesn't enter into it. SpaceX's inclusion in NASDAQ 100 and Russell indices is bad enough (Vanguard etc) but they're not going to be in SP500 for the next year, unless the rules change. And hopefully, never.
                                @raganwald @ilia

                                webology@mastodon.socialW This user is from outside of this forum
                                webology@mastodon.socialW This user is from outside of this forum
                                webology@mastodon.social
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #17

                                @osma @raganwald @ilia The S&P 500 delists unprofitable companies, and they already stated up front that SpaceX has to show a history of profitability and other factors before it qualifies for consideration.

                                With them losing $15 to $160 Billion a year, $11 Billion a year is hardly going to bail them out. Even going public does not bail them out in any way that fools the index. 🤷

                                ilia@phpc.socialI 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • webology@mastodon.socialW webology@mastodon.social

                                  @osma @raganwald @ilia The S&P 500 delists unprofitable companies, and they already stated up front that SpaceX has to show a history of profitability and other factors before it qualifies for consideration.

                                  With them losing $15 to $160 Billion a year, $11 Billion a year is hardly going to bail them out. Even going public does not bail them out in any way that fools the index. 🤷

                                  ilia@phpc.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                                  ilia@phpc.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                                  ilia@phpc.social
                                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                                  #18

                                  @webology @osma @raganwald

                                  Profitability is often sacrificed for growth, for example Amazon was unprofitable for 6 years after going IPO, uber 4 years, I am sure there many other similar examples

                                  raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR webology@mastodon.socialW eestileib@tech.lgbtE 3 Replies Last reply
                                  0
                                  • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

                                    And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift. Google agreeing to rent compute from xAI (cough, "SpaceX") magically makes them eligible for inclusion in the S&P500.

                                    Americans, they are looting your life savings, the ones you earned through labour that they are gleefully replacing. Your descendants will never have the chance you had.

                                    https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/05/google-will-pay-spacex-920m-per-month-for-compute/

                                    jmcrookston@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                    jmcrookston@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                    jmcrookston@mastodon.social
                                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                                    #19

                                    @raganwald

                                    Absolutely thievery. I need to be off Google services ASAP.

                                    (Edit: I long ago tapered off my use of their services to a minimum, but I'm still using Gmail. Time to end that too.)

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

                                      And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift. Google agreeing to rent compute from xAI (cough, "SpaceX") magically makes them eligible for inclusion in the S&P500.

                                      Americans, they are looting your life savings, the ones you earned through labour that they are gleefully replacing. Your descendants will never have the chance you had.

                                      https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/05/google-will-pay-spacex-920m-per-month-for-compute/

                                      jfmezei@cosocial.caJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                      jfmezei@cosocial.caJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                      jfmezei@cosocial.ca
                                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                                      #20

                                      @raganwald Google paying $920m per month for access to Melon Husk owned computers is ludicrous. That is close to $1 billion per month. Does not make sense. You could feed and educate a lot of people for that mount of wasted money.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • ilia@phpc.socialI ilia@phpc.social

                                        @webology @osma @raganwald

                                        Profitability is often sacrificed for growth, for example Amazon was unprofitable for 6 years after going IPO, uber 4 years, I am sure there many other similar examples

                                        raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR This user is from outside of this forum
                                        raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR This user is from outside of this forum
                                        raganwald@social.bau-ha.us
                                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                                        #21

                                        @ilia @webology @osma True, but is this Uber? Or WeWork?

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • raganwald@social.bau-ha.usR raganwald@social.bau-ha.us

                                          And just like that—surprise!—one AI company bails out another AI company's grift. Google agreeing to rent compute from xAI (cough, "SpaceX") magically makes them eligible for inclusion in the S&P500.

                                          Americans, they are looting your life savings, the ones you earned through labour that they are gleefully replacing. Your descendants will never have the chance you had.

                                          https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/05/google-will-pay-spacex-920m-per-month-for-compute/

                                          jimpalimpa@mastodon.nuJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                          jimpalimpa@mastodon.nuJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                          jimpalimpa@mastodon.nu
                                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                                          #22

                                          @raganwald

                                          We are watching a tech/AI-bubble come crashing down in real time.

                                          Proof that the "market" N.E.V.E.R. learns.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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