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  3. Spend the day talking to workers council members about "AI".

Spend the day talking to workers council members about "AI".

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  • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

    Spend the day talking to workers council members about "AI". And it's kinda wild hearing their stories from the wild: Management is 100% in fantasy "AI" can do everything land and makes huge plans for how to use "AI" to cut workers when real projects that supposedly can do 50% of a specific task end up being able to do 8%. And they still go live. It's fucking bonkers. CEO's are really not okay.

    olafke@muenchen.socialO This user is from outside of this forum
    olafke@muenchen.socialO This user is from outside of this forum
    olafke@muenchen.social
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #20

    @tante unfortunately and increasingly, management is most interested in whatever looks good in PowerPoint rather than their product in the real world.

    missconstrue@mefi.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • snoopj@hachyderm.ioS snoopj@hachyderm.io

      @aud @tante @glyph well they do have metrics, it's just that they're generally ad-hoc and terrible metrics

      and even when they aren't, Goodhart's Law ensures that relying on them turns the exercise into farce relatively soon.

      arguably that kind of farce is the entire history of the false spring: "simply scale it up" worked surprisingly well, then worked surprisingly well again, and therefore we can extrapolate that it will work forever and [financial irresponsibility] and oops now it's not working anymore oh shit oh fuck uhhhh AGENTS, we're doing agents now! Yea, that's the ticket. (and so on)

      snoopj@hachyderm.ioS This user is from outside of this forum
      snoopj@hachyderm.ioS This user is from outside of this forum
      snoopj@hachyderm.io
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #21

      @aud @tante @glyph the addition of "vision heads" has always been the brightest example of this to me, and came sooner than the craze for "agents".

      They ran out of runway to scale up on text alone but clearly adding more parameters was the thing that needed doing. Bolting an entire vision system to the side of the model sure does add a lot of parameters and keeps you on the curve of projected growth.

      It doesn't really solve any problems in a way that might generate revenue, but it demos quite well and a good demo is all you've ever really needed to separate tech speculators from their cash, *particularly* the ones gambling on "AI" at any point in tech history.

      aud@fire.asta.lgbtA 1 Reply Last reply
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      • snoopj@hachyderm.ioS snoopj@hachyderm.io

        @aud @tante @glyph well they do have metrics, it's just that they're generally ad-hoc and terrible metrics

        and even when they aren't, Goodhart's Law ensures that relying on them turns the exercise into farce relatively soon.

        arguably that kind of farce is the entire history of the false spring: "simply scale it up" worked surprisingly well, then worked surprisingly well again, and therefore we can extrapolate that it will work forever and [financial irresponsibility] and oops now it's not working anymore oh shit oh fuck uhhhh AGENTS, we're doing agents now! Yea, that's the ticket. (and so on)

        aud@fire.asta.lgbtA This user is from outside of this forum
        aud@fire.asta.lgbtA This user is from outside of this forum
        aud@fire.asta.lgbt
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #22

        @SnoopJ@hachyderm.io @tante@tldr.nettime.org @glyph@mastodon.social ah, I meant for the boosters who are "seeing huge gains"; it's always anecdotal and then any outside measurements of it contradict said anecdotal claims...

        but also,
        yes, what you just said, X 1000. Even the earlier "measurements" were horseshit: "we tested this by making it generate answers {for an extremely well documented standardized test for which answers appear many times in the training corpus} and it got a grade of 45%!" which they claim is good, except that's actually failing which they never seem to mention...

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

          But it was super fun to lead them through a "this is how you can force reasonable evaluation on 'AI' projects which kills most of them" framework and see how they felt empowered and able to actually do their job again.

          emma@orbital.horseE This user is from outside of this forum
          emma@orbital.horseE This user is from outside of this forum
          emma@orbital.horse
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #23

          @tante do you have a link to that framework?

          Also: https://labornotes.org/2026/03/four-union-strategies-fight-ai

          tante@tldr.nettime.orgT n_dimension@infosec.exchangeN 2 Replies Last reply
          0
          • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

            @tante yeah it's a real "YOU HAD ONE JOB" situation

            otherdog@mastodon.socialO This user is from outside of this forum
            otherdog@mastodon.socialO This user is from outside of this forum
            otherdog@mastodon.social
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #24

            @glyph @tante Indeed and if you’re using something like Claude Opus on a high thinking level the enterprise plan is going to churn through cash at a remarkable rate. I still see very little serious cost analysis.

            glyph@mastodon.socialG ratsnakegames@mastodon.socialR 2 Replies Last reply
            0
            • emma@orbital.horseE emma@orbital.horse

              @tante do you have a link to that framework?

              Also: https://labornotes.org/2026/03/four-union-strategies-fight-ai

              tante@tldr.nettime.orgT This user is from outside of this forum
              tante@tldr.nettime.orgT This user is from outside of this forum
              tante@tldr.nettime.org
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #25

              @emma haven't formalized it fully so it's not written up anywhere. It's in my head and a few phrases on slides right now.

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • snoopj@hachyderm.ioS snoopj@hachyderm.io

                @aud @tante @glyph the addition of "vision heads" has always been the brightest example of this to me, and came sooner than the craze for "agents".

                They ran out of runway to scale up on text alone but clearly adding more parameters was the thing that needed doing. Bolting an entire vision system to the side of the model sure does add a lot of parameters and keeps you on the curve of projected growth.

                It doesn't really solve any problems in a way that might generate revenue, but it demos quite well and a good demo is all you've ever really needed to separate tech speculators from their cash, *particularly* the ones gambling on "AI" at any point in tech history.

                aud@fire.asta.lgbtA This user is from outside of this forum
                aud@fire.asta.lgbtA This user is from outside of this forum
                aud@fire.asta.lgbt
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #26

                @SnoopJ@hachyderm.io @tante@tldr.nettime.org @glyph@mastodon.social and now we have "so many models to choose from", so we get to play double extra bonus round roulette! Don't just vary your prompts, change models! Infinite combinatorics! You'll never run out of parameters to fiddle with! Burn those tokens, burn em good!

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • otherdog@mastodon.socialO otherdog@mastodon.social

                  @glyph @tante Indeed and if you’re using something like Claude Opus on a high thinking level the enterprise plan is going to churn through cash at a remarkable rate. I still see very little serious cost analysis.

                  glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                  glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                  glyph@mastodon.social
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #27

                  @otherdog @tante In my own analysis I discounted that cost to zero and still found myself estimating very heavy costs, just from the downsides of using the model itself, which AFAICT are going _totally_ unmeasured almost everywhere

                  glyph@mastodon.socialG 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

                    @otherdog @tante In my own analysis I discounted that cost to zero and still found myself estimating very heavy costs, just from the downsides of using the model itself, which AFAICT are going _totally_ unmeasured almost everywhere

                    glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                    glyph@mastodon.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
                    glyph@mastodon.social
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #28

                    @otherdog @tante I guess I'll drop the link again just for reference if you haven't seen it, I didn't do so above because I feel like I post this every single day now to the point where the self-promotion feels shameful. but it remains painfully, almost nauseatingly relevant, so, here you go https://blog.glyph.im/2025/08/futzing-fraction.html

                    otherdog@mastodon.socialO profbib@layer8.spaceP 2 Replies Last reply
                    0
                    • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

                      Spend the day talking to workers council members about "AI". And it's kinda wild hearing their stories from the wild: Management is 100% in fantasy "AI" can do everything land and makes huge plans for how to use "AI" to cut workers when real projects that supposedly can do 50% of a specific task end up being able to do 8%. And they still go live. It's fucking bonkers. CEO's are really not okay.

                      dzwiedziu@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                      dzwiedziu@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                      dzwiedziu@mastodon.social
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #29

                      @tante
                      > CEO's are really not okay.

                      Never have been.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

                        Spend the day talking to workers council members about "AI". And it's kinda wild hearing their stories from the wild: Management is 100% in fantasy "AI" can do everything land and makes huge plans for how to use "AI" to cut workers when real projects that supposedly can do 50% of a specific task end up being able to do 8%. And they still go live. It's fucking bonkers. CEO's are really not okay.

                        maxfenton@mas.toM This user is from outside of this forum
                        maxfenton@mas.toM This user is from outside of this forum
                        maxfenton@mas.to
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #30

                        @tante Sounds about right

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

                          Spend the day talking to workers council members about "AI". And it's kinda wild hearing their stories from the wild: Management is 100% in fantasy "AI" can do everything land and makes huge plans for how to use "AI" to cut workers when real projects that supposedly can do 50% of a specific task end up being able to do 8%. And they still go live. It's fucking bonkers. CEO's are really not okay.

                          sablebadger@dice.campS This user is from outside of this forum
                          sablebadger@dice.campS This user is from outside of this forum
                          sablebadger@dice.camp
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #31

                          @tante CEOs have to do that, they can't admit defeat, so they push ahead regardless and when the chips starts to fall they jump ship and blame it on workers.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • gerrymcgovern@mastodon.greenG gerrymcgovern@mastodon.green

                            @tante ceo's never were okay. I always found senior management a narcissistic bunch of assholes, always looking for the next cool project to burnish their cvs. Many were totally scared of tech, easily fooled. And many more were full on tech cultists, because the tech bros were always promising them how they could cut costs and fire people.

                            pkw@snac.d34d.netP This user is from outside of this forum
                            pkw@snac.d34d.netP This user is from outside of this forum
                            pkw@snac.d34d.net
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #32
                            I regret being intimidated by C-levels as intelligent.
                            I wish I had my attitude from now when dealing
                            with them then.
                            (everything you said rings spot on to my anecdotes.)

                            CC: @tante@tldr.nettime.org
                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

                              @glyph the amount of times where I asked a CEO/CTO about their "AI" project and how they actually measure cost or what their measurable criteria for success are and only got someone looking at me as if I was speaking in tongues is really scary.

                              Like: Isn't turning everything into metrics and measurements in order to make data driven decisions what management is supposed to do?

                              dzwiedziu@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                              dzwiedziu@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                              dzwiedziu@mastodon.social
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #33

                              @tante
                              And when they do Goodhart law strikes.

                              https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodhart%27s_law

                              @glyph

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

                                @tante yeah it's a real "YOU HAD ONE JOB" situation

                                larsmb@mastodon.onlineL This user is from outside of this forum
                                larsmb@mastodon.onlineL This user is from outside of this forum
                                larsmb@mastodon.online
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #34

                                @glyph @tante

                                "AI is going to make us more productive at shipping our software."

                                "Great! Amazing! That must be several phd theses you got there! Well done! Didn't know you had it in you."

                                "?!?"

                                "Well, I mean, you must have figured out how to measure software development productivity reliably, right? What's our baseline at?"

                                S 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

                                  @otherdog @tante I guess I'll drop the link again just for reference if you haven't seen it, I didn't do so above because I feel like I post this every single day now to the point where the self-promotion feels shameful. but it remains painfully, almost nauseatingly relevant, so, here you go https://blog.glyph.im/2025/08/futzing-fraction.html

                                  otherdog@mastodon.socialO This user is from outside of this forum
                                  otherdog@mastodon.socialO This user is from outside of this forum
                                  otherdog@mastodon.social
                                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                                  #35

                                  @glyph Thank you for sharing that, a very thought-provoking read.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

                                    But: If you have any chance to speak to unions/workers from different domains and organizations do so.
                                    It's fascinating how
                                    a) different organizations are and operate
                                    b) they all end up with the same handful of structural problems

                                    carstenschridde@norden.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                    carstenschridde@norden.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                                    carstenschridde@norden.social
                                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                                    #36

                                    @tante could you please write an essay about this top, i really need to read it!

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • jaredwhite@indieweb.socialJ jaredwhite@indieweb.social

                                      @tante 9 times out of 10 (yes that's an anecdotal stat), the people most resistant to AI-all-the-things are the most talented, most dedicated workers. Orgs who penalize or fire those people are committing self-sabotage. 🙁

                                      ehproque@neopaquita.esE This user is from outside of this forum
                                      ehproque@neopaquita.esE This user is from outside of this forum
                                      ehproque@neopaquita.es
                                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                                      #37

                                      @jaredwhite @tante why wouldn't they? The people who bullshit for a living are (ironically) not threatened, they're having the time of their lives instead

                                      patrickleavy@mastodon.socialP 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • glyph@mastodon.socialG glyph@mastodon.social

                                        @tante yeah it's a real "YOU HAD ONE JOB" situation

                                        missconstrue@mefi.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        missconstrue@mefi.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        missconstrue@mefi.social
                                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                                        #38

                                        @glyph @tante I had to walk away from being an information architect because everyone wants to pivot to ai, when there is no such thing. I specialize creating information flows that get the right information to the right people. C-suite doesn’t need code docs, and SRE doesn’t need customer service scripts. But all aspects of an enterprise needs documentation for some user in the enterprise. Someone has to create the documentation, map the information, define users, create channels, etc.

                                        Csuite seems to think that it’s magic. That an LLM can talk to both code creators and end users and define requirements from those interviews, and document both the code base, the user docs, the service docs, the marketing docs, etc, and they can just get rid of the tech writers, marketing writers, graphic designers, usability designers, and the people that manage those teams. I mean, good luck with that.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

                                          @glyph the amount of times where I asked a CEO/CTO about their "AI" project and how they actually measure cost or what their measurable criteria for success are and only got someone looking at me as if I was speaking in tongues is really scary.

                                          Like: Isn't turning everything into metrics and measurements in order to make data driven decisions what management is supposed to do?

                                          arrrg@kolektiva.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                                          arrrg@kolektiva.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                                          arrrg@kolektiva.social
                                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                                          #39

                                          @tante @glyph I've come to realize that the "leaders" in most companies are mostly people who can't build, who aren't creative, and lack any truly marketable skills. They're good at making other executives feel good about themselves.

                                          Most, if not all, companies would be better off without any executives, but rather they are run by a committee of employees.

                                          These little cults of personalities that corporatedom creates are highly ineffective and prone to eradicate and unpredictable results.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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