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Kollaps
FARVEL BIG TECH
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  3. "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not.

"AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not.

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  • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

    @mellowfish That's... just your opinion. Agentic coding (I don't think you can call it "engineering") is heavily subsidized by big AI companies right now, and that's going away sooner or later. The software world will have a painful wake up call from all the spaghetti code being pumped out right now.

    waltbaldwin@mastodon.energyW This user is from outside of this forum
    waltbaldwin@mastodon.energyW This user is from outside of this forum
    waltbaldwin@mastodon.energy
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #80

    @Gargron @mellowfish

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3TNpOD6bov8

    bmoreinis@journa.hostB 1 Reply Last reply
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    • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

      "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not. I am curious to see how long the hype will last once the Nvidia ouroboros ends and money stops being pumped into marketing.

      skyblitz@ieji.deS This user is from outside of this forum
      skyblitz@ieji.deS This user is from outside of this forum
      skyblitz@ieji.de
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #81

      @Gargron AI is a solution that search a problem.

      Witch is the opposit of what technology must be.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

        "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not. I am curious to see how long the hype will last once the Nvidia ouroboros ends and money stops being pumped into marketing.

        heliograph@mastodon.auH This user is from outside of this forum
        heliograph@mastodon.auH This user is from outside of this forum
        heliograph@mastodon.au
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #82

        @Gargron @tante I hope you two are talking... 🎯

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

          "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not. I am curious to see how long the hype will last once the Nvidia ouroboros ends and money stops being pumped into marketing.

          countholdem@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
          countholdem@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
          countholdem@mastodon.social
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #83

          @Gargron Bare minimum, it's an effective front for the wealthiest Tech Bros to corner vital root infrastructure, to squeeze more Capitalist greed out of the 99%.

          It's become child's play for them.

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • clayote@peoplemaking.gamesC clayote@peoplemaking.games

            @skavish I understand this is hard for you to hear, because you like to use LLMs. But it's the sort of criticism you have to deal with if you want your opinions on your craft to be taken seriously.

            "You could probably do good things with them if you wanted to" is such an embarrassing argument to make. You're admitting you have no evidence, and are appealing to the assumed egotism of @Gargron to get him to make your own damn argument for you. Take the L.

            skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
            skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
            skavish@welley.social
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #84

            @clayote you are confusing two arguments. I am not claiming Gargron would get good results, I am saying you cant know what results you'd get without actually using the tools. I use them daily to build real software, so I have firsthand experience. you keep demanding evidence while dismissing the possibility of evidence you haven't personally examined. the irony is hard to miss.

            clayote@peoplemaking.gamesC kir@mastodon.unoK 2 Replies Last reply
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            • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

              @FallsMom Cory Doctorow is right on some topics, but I consider him not extreme enough on "AI". This shtick works while there are qualified radiologists who retain their skills. It falls apart once the deskilling effects of "AI" are in the loop.

              dalias@hachyderm.ioD This user is from outside of this forum
              dalias@hachyderm.ioD This user is from outside of this forum
              dalias@hachyderm.io
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #85

              @Gargron @FallsMom He's badly AI-pilled.

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ joeinwynnewood@mstdn.social

                @skavish

                Assuming you are correct that it can be made to produce quality code, what are the odds that, given the speed with which bad code can be created and that management definitely has no idea what good code looks like, they won't push their people to produce huge piles of crap with near zero chance that the few people who do know what they're doing will be able to fix it?

                @Gargron

                skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                skavish@welley.social
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #86

                that is a management problem, not an AI problem. bad managers have been pushing engineers to produce crap for decades. AI just makes it faster. the solution is better engineering, not refusing to use better tools.

                joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ 1 Reply Last reply
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                • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                  @mastodonmigration and you sound like someone who’s never tried coffee but is absolutely certain everyone who drinks it is an addict 🙂

                  mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
                  mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
                  mastodonmigration@mastodon.online
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #87

                  @skavish

                  "Come on, give it a try, it's no more harmful than coffee." Glad to have not taken the bait.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                    @clayote you are confusing two arguments. I am not claiming Gargron would get good results, I am saying you cant know what results you'd get without actually using the tools. I use them daily to build real software, so I have firsthand experience. you keep demanding evidence while dismissing the possibility of evidence you haven't personally examined. the irony is hard to miss.

                    clayote@peoplemaking.gamesC This user is from outside of this forum
                    clayote@peoplemaking.gamesC This user is from outside of this forum
                    clayote@peoplemaking.games
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #88

                    @skavish If there were a new type of guitar that somehow got popular, it sounded bad every time I heard it, and the people who thought it sounded good all seemed to turn out not to have much credibility in music theory or anything, but you happened to like it and said to me: "You can't know what results you'd get without actually using the tools,"

                    Technically, that is a true statement

                    You seem to believe it has any actual relevance to the question of whether the guitar is good, but it doesn't.

                    skavish@welley.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • luminous_j@beige.partyL luminous_j@beige.party

                      @Gargron
                      I am fascinated by your ad hominem attack, but I'm not here to score points or win a right-or-wrong debate.

                      Why not address the substance of my response and engage in a fair debate based on facts and experiences?

                      Let me start:
                      What if a technology doesn't need to provide 100% reliable information to be useful, provided its limitations are understood and appropriately managed?

                      And what if future developments improve the reliability of these models and address some of their current limitations? Would AI still be inherently dangerous and irresponsible as a technological tool?

                      I'm genuinely interested in the reasoning behind your conclusion that AI is a failed technology.

                      joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      joeinwynnewood@mstdn.social
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #89

                      @Luminous_J

                      Re: provided its limitations are understood and appropriately managed

                      Those are some extremely large qualifications.

                      The number of people capable of understanding the limitations of LLMs (which I'm pretty sure is what everyone means by AI in these discussions) across a large number of knowledge domains is all too small and probably still greater than the number of people in management capable of managing them appropriately.

                      @Gargron

                      luminous_j@beige.partyL 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • nead@social.vivaldi.netN nead@social.vivaldi.net

                        @golemwire Where is *your* closest mega-data center? How much electricity does it use? How much land was conceded to build that AI data center? What is the dB level hum at the edge of the facility? How much water is needed to cool it?
                        Let's start with that first, before we start swinging our pro- AI dicks around.

                        @Gargron

                        nead@social.vivaldi.netN This user is from outside of this forum
                        nead@social.vivaldi.netN This user is from outside of this forum
                        nead@social.vivaldi.net
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #90

                        @golemwire @Gargron My questions are still relevant. Care to answer?
                        This might help: https://aidatacenterindex.com

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                        • clayote@peoplemaking.gamesC clayote@peoplemaking.games

                          @skavish If there were a new type of guitar that somehow got popular, it sounded bad every time I heard it, and the people who thought it sounded good all seemed to turn out not to have much credibility in music theory or anything, but you happened to like it and said to me: "You can't know what results you'd get without actually using the tools,"

                          Technically, that is a true statement

                          You seem to believe it has any actual relevance to the question of whether the guitar is good, but it doesn't.

                          skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                          skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                          skavish@welley.social
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #91

                          @clayote the difference is that i actually use the tools and build real software with them. you are arguing about a guitar you have never played, based on people you do not respect playing it badly. that is not exactly a solid basis for judging the instrument.

                          clayote@peoplemaking.gamesC zenkat@sfba.socialZ 2 Replies Last reply
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                          • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

                            @imhotep @skavish Linus’s expertise in one area does not automatically translate into others.

                            imhotep@infosec.exchangeI This user is from outside of this forum
                            imhotep@infosec.exchangeI This user is from outside of this forum
                            imhotep@infosec.exchange
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #92

                            @Gargron @skavish

                            Maybe not but Fabrice and Linus are peeps I've long trusted and have code I respect that runs half the planet, and I think beyond.

                            I respect Theo De Raadt too, and understand his issues with licenses.

                            Gregory Crane's work relevant to my interests and work, and I think the greater good, and he also seems to appreciate the tech in the world of nlp and accessibility in his recent babel themed blog posts.

                            Regarding your OP I would imagine you are an expert in global financial markets to comment on the finance side of things, I am not.

                            Not fit for what purpose I suppose is the question?

                            Seems like the printing press chaos all over again, but the generic mechanical slop from Guttenberg's devilry is evolving.

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                            • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

                              "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not. I am curious to see how long the hype will last once the Nvidia ouroboros ends and money stops being pumped into marketing.

                              cheboludo@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                              cheboludo@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
                              cheboludo@mastodon.social
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #93

                              @Gargron hype over substance; what everyone forgets is garbage-in-garbage-out. So much context is now AI generated that models are overfitting.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                                that is a management problem, not an AI problem. bad managers have been pushing engineers to produce crap for decades. AI just makes it faster. the solution is better engineering, not refusing to use better tools.

                                joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                joeinwynnewood@mstdn.social
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #94

                                @skavish

                                A solution that is impossible to deploy, given that bad management is endemic to the (publically traded) corporate world, isn't much of a solution, is it?

                                skavish@welley.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                                  @clayote the difference is that i actually use the tools and build real software with them. you are arguing about a guitar you have never played, based on people you do not respect playing it badly. that is not exactly a solid basis for judging the instrument.

                                  clayote@peoplemaking.gamesC This user is from outside of this forum
                                  clayote@peoplemaking.gamesC This user is from outside of this forum
                                  clayote@peoplemaking.games
                                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                                  #95

                                  @skavish If I go looking for people who can play that guitar well, never find any, none of its fans give me any compelling examples either, and you give me no examples at all, at what point do I get to conclude that the guitar is bad, and you have bad taste in guitars?

                                  skavish@welley.socialS 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ joeinwynnewood@mstdn.social

                                    @skavish

                                    A solution that is impossible to deploy, given that bad management is endemic to the (publically traded) corporate world, isn't much of a solution, is it?

                                    skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                    skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                    skavish@welley.social
                                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                                    #96

                                    frankly, i do not give a shit about big corps with shitty management. AI is a massive multiplier for me and my team. if some incompetent corporate fucks manage to use it to create a mountain of shit, that is their problem. let them burn.

                                    joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ 2 Replies Last reply
                                    0
                                    • luminous_j@beige.partyL luminous_j@beige.party

                                      @Gargron That's a quite strong stance, that missed proper argumentation. I agree it's not perfect and it has risks, but 'failed"?What is your definition for 'failed'?

                                      Is it the fact that radiologists now can better diagnose breast cancer using AI as a tool to diagnose than without?

                                      Or Is it the fact that it immensely progressed mRNA technology?

                                      Or perhaps is it your fear for a 'new technology' that's alien and could perhaps take over your job and eventually your life?

                                      temptoetiam@eldritch.cafeT This user is from outside of this forum
                                      temptoetiam@eldritch.cafeT This user is from outside of this forum
                                      temptoetiam@eldritch.cafe
                                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                                      #97

                                      @Luminous_J @Gargron mRNA? Are you sure?

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • clayote@peoplemaking.gamesC clayote@peoplemaking.games

                                        @skavish If I go looking for people who can play that guitar well, never find any, none of its fans give me any compelling examples either, and you give me no examples at all, at what point do I get to conclude that the guitar is bad, and you have bad taste in guitars?

                                        skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                        skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                        skavish@welley.social
                                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                                        #98

                                        you are free to conclude whatever you want. but i actually use the guitar to build shit every day, while you have decided it sounds bad without ever playing it. whose opinion do you think is more useful here?

                                        clayote@peoplemaking.gamesC teflontrout@beige.partyT 2 Replies Last reply
                                        0
                                        • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                                          frankly, i do not give a shit about big corps with shitty management. AI is a massive multiplier for me and my team. if some incompetent corporate fucks manage to use it to create a mountain of shit, that is their problem. let them burn.

                                          joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                          joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                          joeinwynnewood@mstdn.social
                                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                                          #99

                                          @skavish

                                          As if we all won't burn with them.

                                          If you're lucky enough to be in a little corner of the world with a quality team and management that knows enough to leave you alone, that's great, until the owner cashes out and sells the company and you and your team to one of those incompetent corporate fucks.

                                          I hope that doesn't happen, but the odds aren't great it won't.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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