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Kollaps
FARVEL BIG TECH
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  3. "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not.

"AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not.

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  • theothersimo@mastodon.socialT theothersimo@mastodon.social

    @oldguycrusty @Gargron you think the extra half trillion a year for the pentagon is intended for humans?

    oldguycrusty@mastodon.worldO This user is from outside of this forum
    oldguycrusty@mastodon.worldO This user is from outside of this forum
    oldguycrusty@mastodon.world
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #188

    @theothersimo @Gargron

    I take your point.

    But still, I understand the industry investment to be on the order of $2.5 trillion in data center infrastructure alone.

    As huge a taxpayer handout as that may be, it still doesn't even come close to covering cost, much less get the industry to profitability.

    So what is the revenue model? What's the plan?

    I don't get it.

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • freakyfwoof@universeodon.comF freakyfwoof@universeodon.com

      @skavish @Gargron We live in very... Curious times at the moment.
      There's a massive hype to adopt something that many don't want to adopt, nor should they have to do so, but equally there's a hype train that says 'do this thing or else...'
      There's a middle ground where you can use it quietly, and not use it quietly, and it really doesn't matter.
      It's the either siders I'm concerned about.

      When those that hate it hear about it 24-7 it's like passive smoking. It sucks, it's bad for you and you wish you could escape it.
      Equally when you use it for something meaningful and before you've had a chance to explain, you've been shut down because tolerance is 'agree with me or else' that equally sucks.

      I haven't stated which side of the fence I fall on, and I won't here without being asked. I'm not here to persuade or dissuade, just to make a point.
      Moderation is good.

      You can see my thoughts by looking at my personal posts.

      Both of you in this conversation have made your decision and that's OK, but there's nuance in everything and dismissing either side out-of-hand means you aren't thoughtful enough to know where that nuance lies.

      You = general you, not you two personally.

      I see a lot of love and hate recently, sadly more hate than love, more intolerance than tolerance, and that's not really the fedi I signed up for.
      If we could step back about 6 years and show one another just a tad more respect, the world would genuinely be a nicer place to live in.

      mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
      mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
      mcv@friendica.opensocial.space
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #189

      @FreakyFwoof @skavish @Gargron

      I agree with this. I oppose irresponsible use of AI, and there's a lot of that around, but I think it's also possible to use it responsibly. Responsible use gets overshadowed by the "use more AI" people that are way too common in many corporations that love mediocrity, but that doesn't mean it's impossible.

      I use it myself on a project that would otherwise be way too large for me, and I think I've found an effective way to use it and get it to produce well-structured code. That does require constant code review, and clearly that code review is not perfect, because every model upgrade results in new issues being found that make me wonder how it ever missed those before. But on the whole, the end result is pretty good, and far better than the mediocre crap I often run into at big corporations. It's not as if AI is unique in bringing poorly written code to corporate projects.

      But to get good code out of an LLM requires good software engineers who deeply understand how code should be structured and how to use agents to avoid the many pitfalls.

      I have no doubt the future holds enormous amounts of slop.

      So, pro or con? I use it myself, but I have more sympathy for anti-AI people than for "use AI everywhere" people. Am I overconfident in my ability to produce quality code with AI? Possibly. I remain critical, but will continue to use it as long as it seems to work for me.

      My advice if you're not sure: don't let the AI write your code, but let it review it. It's much more thorough at review than most people are (who just skim over it and approve it). Make it an extra layer of defense, rather than a replacement.

      freakyfwoof@universeodon.comF 1 Reply Last reply
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      • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

        @imhotep @skavish Linus’s expertise in one area does not automatically translate into others.

        mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
        mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
        mcv@friendica.opensocial.space
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #190

        @Gargron @skavish @imhotep

        True, but managing and judging software contributions is generally considered his area of expertise.

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ joeinwynnewood@mstdn.social

          @skavish

          Assuming you are correct that it can be made to produce quality code, what are the odds that, given the speed with which bad code can be created and that management definitely has no idea what good code looks like, they won't push their people to produce huge piles of crap with near zero chance that the few people who do know what they're doing will be able to fix it?

          @Gargron

          mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
          mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
          mcv@friendica.opensocial.space
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #191

          @joeinwynnewood @Gargron @skavish

          what are the odds that, given the speed with which bad code can be created and that management definitely has no idea what good code looks like, they won't push their people to produce huge piles of crap


          I would say those odds are very high. But management also pushes people to produce piles of crap without AI. I just spent most of last year fighting management on a poorly designed project where they just wanted to add more features before considering allowing a redesign, despite my proposed redesign making those features a lot easier to add. I've held multiple presentations on code quality that mostly fell on deaf ears. And this was before they switched to pushing AI.

          I'm not sure AI will make their code worse, because it is already really bad. The code quality of many corporate projects is atrocious. Despite their many automated code quality tools.

          joeinwynnewood@mstdn.socialJ 1 Reply Last reply
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          • mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM mcv@friendica.opensocial.space

            @FreakyFwoof @skavish @Gargron

            I agree with this. I oppose irresponsible use of AI, and there's a lot of that around, but I think it's also possible to use it responsibly. Responsible use gets overshadowed by the "use more AI" people that are way too common in many corporations that love mediocrity, but that doesn't mean it's impossible.

            I use it myself on a project that would otherwise be way too large for me, and I think I've found an effective way to use it and get it to produce well-structured code. That does require constant code review, and clearly that code review is not perfect, because every model upgrade results in new issues being found that make me wonder how it ever missed those before. But on the whole, the end result is pretty good, and far better than the mediocre crap I often run into at big corporations. It's not as if AI is unique in bringing poorly written code to corporate projects.

            But to get good code out of an LLM requires good software engineers who deeply understand how code should be structured and how to use agents to avoid the many pitfalls.

            I have no doubt the future holds enormous amounts of slop.

            So, pro or con? I use it myself, but I have more sympathy for anti-AI people than for "use AI everywhere" people. Am I overconfident in my ability to produce quality code with AI? Possibly. I remain critical, but will continue to use it as long as it seems to work for me.

            My advice if you're not sure: don't let the AI write your code, but let it review it. It's much more thorough at review than most people are (who just skim over it and approve it). Make it an extra layer of defense, rather than a replacement.

            freakyfwoof@universeodon.comF This user is from outside of this forum
            freakyfwoof@universeodon.comF This user is from outside of this forum
            freakyfwoof@universeodon.com
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #192

            @mcv @Gargron @skavish @fullywoolly
            I'm blind so my particular use-case differs from the norm.
            I see the use when people don't have the care (or time) to add alt-text and I want to be a part of the conversation.
            I see uses for it at describing my surroundings.
            I see uses for it when I'm in a hotel room and it's 6 in the morning, there are 3 *identical* bottles attached to the bathroom wall and I don't know which is shampoo, which is shower jell and which is conditioner because god forbid anyone bothers having a bit of difference on bottles, or even adding braille...
            so yes. My use is different than most, perhaps.

            I also live in a world of very, very inaccessible software and web pages, despite the fat we have better standards than ever and the year is 2026.
            This should be improving not disproving but sadly that is not the case.
            As a result, many blind people (including myself) have decided that 'if people are going to leave us in the dark, make their portals/apps/websites inaccessible, we'll fix it ourselves.'

            Blind people are possibly some of the best software testers you'll ever have.
            When something doesn't work, we'll find it.
            You can't reach that one important app with the tab key? Stop, fix it.
            Your menu bar doesn't work? Sort it out.
            Alt+F for File clashes with Find for some bizarre reason? Nope.

            Many of us have either through necessity or sometimes lack of choice, become AI coders.
            I already see some of you scoffing in the comments, and that's your right, but it's also my right to have a usable, accessible world to live in just as you do.
            I fully intend to get that with, or without human help.

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • nead@social.vivaldi.netN nead@social.vivaldi.net

              @Gargron I like to ask pro-AI folks, "Where is your closest data center?" "How many acres of land did it use?" and "How much electricity will it consume?"
              Many will not know the answers.
              Here is a drone fly-over of a data center that's currently under construction and about 30 minutes from me. It answers many of the details everyone should be familiar with, whether you live by one, or simply utilize the technology.
              https://youtu.be/52x2qBh4vsM?si=-9w4JBOBP3h1wlgO

              tofuwabohu@subversive.zoneT This user is from outside of this forum
              tofuwabohu@subversive.zoneT This user is from outside of this forum
              tofuwabohu@subversive.zone
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #193

              @Nead @Gargron "it's just a tool, and very good if we ignore all the external costs for a second"

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • noisecolor@toot.communityN noisecolor@toot.community

                @Gargron
                I think it's completely disingenuous to blame ai for all the troubles in the world, especially since all these problems were clearly there before ai.

                You have a problem with capitalism, not ai. And I do too, don't get me wrong. I'd love to live in a better, cleaner, juster world.
                But ai has nothing to do with it.

                mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
                mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
                mcv@friendica.opensocial.space
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #194

                @Noisecolor @Gargron

                In fact, I think AI requires the end of capitalism. The big SciFi promise of AI is that AI will take care of all the stupid, dangerous, annoying and boring work while we play games and make art. See The Culture novels. But that's never going to happen as long as AI is controlled by powerful profit-seeking corporations.

                If AI can indeed replace workers, as they claim (of which I'm very skeptical), then everybody will be poor and at their mercy, unless we completely change our economic system. (Which we should be doing anyway.)

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                • luminous_j@beige.partyL luminous_j@beige.party

                  @Gargron That's a quite strong stance, that missed proper argumentation. I agree it's not perfect and it has risks, but 'failed"?What is your definition for 'failed'?

                  Is it the fact that radiologists now can better diagnose breast cancer using AI as a tool to diagnose than without?

                  Or Is it the fact that it immensely progressed mRNA technology?

                  Or perhaps is it your fear for a 'new technology' that's alien and could perhaps take over your job and eventually your life?

                  mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
                  mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
                  mcv@friendica.opensocial.space
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #195

                  @Luminous_J @Gargron

                  We need to be careful not to equate all forms of AI. Nobody is using LLMs to diagnose breast cancer (or at least I hope not). AI has proven to be extremely effective within limited fields with clear, measurable goals.

                  Just like people have tried to get LLMs to play chess, and they're hilariously bad at it. But Stockfish is brilliant at it.

                  The big problem is the overuse of LLMs. People think that because you can have what looks like a conversation with them, they surely can do anything. They can't. They produce plausible responses, and they do that very well, which makes them extremely convincing. They're the ultimate bullshitters, and that's the big pitfall that over-eager CEOs in bullshit-sensitive industries keep falling into.

                  It doesn't make all AI useless, but it does make a lot of uses of AI irresponsible and dangerous.

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                  • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                    @mastodonmigration cocaine is a substance with well-documented effects. AI is a tool whose results depend heavily on how it's used. the analogy doesn't work.

                    david_chisnall@infosec.exchangeD This user is from outside of this forum
                    david_chisnall@infosec.exchangeD This user is from outside of this forum
                    david_chisnall@infosec.exchange
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #196

                    @skavish @mastodonmigration

                    At this point, the cognitive decline cause by use of LLMs is also well documented and reproduced by multiple studies, so I think the analogy holds quite well.

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                    • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                      calling code that’s currently being generated by AI agents “spaghetti code” is a pretty sure sign that you either haven’t actually used it seriously or don’t know how to use it.

                      AI-generated code can absolutely be terrible. so can human-generated code. the interesting question is whether you know how to get the agent to produce good code and how to review, test, and evolve it.

                      knightlie@social.vivaldi.netK This user is from outside of this forum
                      knightlie@social.vivaldi.netK This user is from outside of this forum
                      knightlie@social.vivaldi.net
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #197

                      @skavish @Gargron It's more efficient for me as as developer to write the code I need to than to learn the new discipline of "prompt engineering," which is a euphemism for "trying to get a random number generator to generate the numbers I need."

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                      • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                        if you’ve never used it, then yes, you’re not in a position to judge what it looks like when used properly. being an experienced engineer and maintainer gives you plenty of expertise in software engineering, but it doesn’t magically give you first-hand experience with a tool you explicitly said you’ve never used.

                        you can absolutely argue that you don’t want to use it. that’s a different claim.

                        knightlie@social.vivaldi.netK This user is from outside of this forum
                        knightlie@social.vivaldi.netK This user is from outside of this forum
                        knightlie@social.vivaldi.net
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #198

                        @skavish @Gargron Define "properly." Because I can already write code "properly" without destroying the environment with harmful data centres, shoving endless profits into middle-man companies who don't need to be involved and propping up the egos of the deranged psychopaths who are pushing this flawed technology.

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                        • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                          I am pretty sure @Gargron could get great results if he wanted to use these tools. I completely respect his choice not to. but "I don't want to use it" and "it's a bad tool" are two very different things.

                          knightlie@social.vivaldi.netK This user is from outside of this forum
                          knightlie@social.vivaldi.netK This user is from outside of this forum
                          knightlie@social.vivaldi.net
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #199

                          @skavish @Gargron @clayote They are also both perfectly valid viewpoints.

                          1 Reply Last reply
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                          • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                            jesus fucking christ, you are arguing in circles. if you have seen good prs, then great, the tools can produce good code. if you have only seen bad ones, you know they can produce bad code. neither tells you what happens when someone who actually knows how to use the tools uses them.

                            this is pretty basic logic. I think I am done here

                            knightlie@social.vivaldi.netK This user is from outside of this forum
                            knightlie@social.vivaldi.netK This user is from outside of this forum
                            knightlie@social.vivaldi.net
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #200

                            @skavish @clayote You're arguing with software engineers who don't see the point in being prompt engineers. Learning how to get a random number generator to generate the right numbers and produce the code I want is not what I've spent the last FORTY YEARS doing. It's development with extra steps, and whether you agree or not the jury is still out on the long-term benefits of your RNG.

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                            • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                              @TeflonTrout please go fuck yourself properly

                              knightlie@social.vivaldi.netK This user is from outside of this forum
                              knightlie@social.vivaldi.netK This user is from outside of this forum
                              knightlie@social.vivaldi.net
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #201

                              @skavish @TeflonTrout Insult aside, which part of his argument is wrong? Cause you sound like you're shilling for fascists.

                              1 Reply Last reply
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                              • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                                I am pretty sure @Gargron could get great results if he wanted to use these tools. I completely respect his choice not to. but "I don't want to use it" and "it's a bad tool" are two very different things.

                                noodlemaz@mstdn.gamesN This user is from outside of this forum
                                noodlemaz@mstdn.gamesN This user is from outside of this forum
                                noodlemaz@mstdn.games
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #202

                                @skavish @clayote great results like your terrible profile picture? Hard to take anyone seriously when they openly represent themselves with slop

                                And no before you ask, mine is a decade-old screenshot from a game so don't bother.

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                                  @mastodonmigration cocaine is a substance with well-documented effects. AI is a tool whose results depend heavily on how it's used. the analogy doesn't work.

                                  noodlemaz@mstdn.gamesN This user is from outside of this forum
                                  noodlemaz@mstdn.gamesN This user is from outside of this forum
                                  noodlemaz@mstdn.games
                                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                                  #203

                                  @skavish @mastodonmigration may be good to review: https://www.frank.computer/blog/2025/05/just-a-tool.html

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • super_user_do@mastodon.unoS super_user_do@mastodon.uno

                                    @mellowfish @Gargron as bad as it may sound, that is the unfortunate reality. People are doing absolutely mind-blowing stuff with AI that up until a few years ago was considered completely impossible from the perspective of any software engineer, yet here we are mixing videogames. AI in coding is not going away also because most companies have very generic workflows and don't really care of shipping good code if AI can manage it and work 24/7 without getting tired

                                    noodlemaz@mstdn.gamesN This user is from outside of this forum
                                    noodlemaz@mstdn.gamesN This user is from outside of this forum
                                    noodlemaz@mstdn.games
                                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                                    #204

                                    @super_user_do this looks like garbage. Do you actually play and enjoy games ever??

                                    1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • shes_gabrielle@mastodon.socialS shes_gabrielle@mastodon.social

                                      @FreakyFwoof @skavish @Gargron While I agree with your ethos of neutrality here, the reality is most people who present a 'neutral' opinion are just concealing a pro or anti opinion, in your case after checking your profile, you have a recent long post praising the AI agents and data centers you are using. So ostensibly that *is* a pro opinion, you are promoting AI to your followers. Using it 'quietly' would be doing exactly that: not posting about it, nor shushing those who take anti stances.

                                      precariousmind@neopaquita.esP This user is from outside of this forum
                                      precariousmind@neopaquita.esP This user is from outside of this forum
                                      precariousmind@neopaquita.es
                                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                                      #205

                                      @Shes_Gabrielle @FreakyFwoof @skavish @Gargron excellent definition of centrism, and I'll stop here. Many implications.

                                      jargoggles@kolektiva.socialJ 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        mcv@friendica.opensocial.spaceM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        mcv@friendica.opensocial.space
                                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                                        #206

                                        @Rycochet @Gargron

                                        This is a cycle that AI research has gone through ever since it started: someone has an interesting idea, people are enthusiastic, first results look promising, disproportionate expectations follow, the idea leads to successful new technology that doesn't come close to the inflated expectations, and interest collapses.

                                        AI has always been extremely hype sensitive. That doesn't mean it has no content or value, but it's always a good idea to be skeptical of those inflated expectations.

                                        The difference is that this time, the research involves overfunded companies that believe their own hype and lots of way too rich people believe them too.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                                          if you’ve never used it, then yes, you’re not in a position to judge what it looks like when used properly. being an experienced engineer and maintainer gives you plenty of expertise in software engineering, but it doesn’t magically give you first-hand experience with a tool you explicitly said you’ve never used.

                                          you can absolutely argue that you don’t want to use it. that’s a different claim.

                                          barubary@infosec.exchangeB This user is from outside of this forum
                                          barubary@infosec.exchangeB This user is from outside of this forum
                                          barubary@infosec.exchange
                                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                                          #207

                                          @skavish @Gargron I have used it. I still think it's shit. Now what?

                                          kir@mastodon.unoK 1 Reply Last reply
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