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FARVEL BIG TECH
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  3. This is FASCINATING.

This is FASCINATING.

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  • david_chisnall@infosec.exchangeD david_chisnall@infosec.exchange

    @hzulla

    I learned about cron jobs about 25 years ago. I was told then that it’s good to add a random number of minutes to nightly cron jobs to avoid thundering herds problems. Some tools have this built in: freebsd-update cron, for example, sleeps a random number of seconds up to an hour to avoid every machine that uses it hammering the server at the same time.

    I’m not sure when this stopped being taught.

    The impact on the electricity grid is a specific case of the same general problem.

    The thing that surprises me is that @daily is specified to run at an exact time. I had assumed it introduced some jitter to avoid these problems.

    EDIT: I misremembered the layer of the system responsible for this. On FreeBSD, the main use of @daily is to run periodic daily. This then schedules the periodic tasks, in dependency order. This has a anticongestion_sleeptime setting and will sleep a random amount up to that amount. The default is 3600, so the daily tasks will start at a random time between midnight and 1am.

    annanannanse@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
    annanannanse@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
    annanannanse@mastodon.social
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #175

    @david_chisnall @hzulla

    > I’m not sure when this stopped being taught.

    I don't think it ever did stop being taught. I'm at least 10 years after you, I learnt this, younger people than me know this.

    david_chisnall@infosec.exchangeD 1 Reply Last reply
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    • annanannanse@mastodon.socialA annanannanse@mastodon.social

      @david_chisnall @hzulla

      > I’m not sure when this stopped being taught.

      I don't think it ever did stop being taught. I'm at least 10 years after you, I learnt this, younger people than me know this.

      david_chisnall@infosec.exchangeD This user is from outside of this forum
      david_chisnall@infosec.exchangeD This user is from outside of this forum
      david_chisnall@infosec.exchange
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #176

      @annanannanse @hzulla

      I wonder if it’a more that system administration is taught to fewer people. When I was a student, it wasn’t part of the formal curriculum but the computer society gave you hands-on practice administering systems and taught this kind of thing. Maybe 10% of my year group were actively involved. Ten years later it was, apparently, closer to 1%.

      hzulla@infosec.exchangeH 1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • david_chisnall@infosec.exchangeD david_chisnall@infosec.exchange

        @annanannanse @hzulla

        I wonder if it’a more that system administration is taught to fewer people. When I was a student, it wasn’t part of the formal curriculum but the computer society gave you hands-on practice administering systems and taught this kind of thing. Maybe 10% of my year group were actively involved. Ten years later it was, apparently, closer to 1%.

        hzulla@infosec.exchangeH This user is from outside of this forum
        hzulla@infosec.exchangeH This user is from outside of this forum
        hzulla@infosec.exchange
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #177

        @david_chisnall @annanannanse I majored in distributed systems while studying CS and it wasn't part of my formal education back in the late 90s. At least not the topic that synchronized clocks can have an effect on the electrical grid.

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

          This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

          https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

          farbs@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
          farbs@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
          farbs@mastodon.social
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #178

          @hzulla lol, yep I've optimised non-critical game system this way.

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

            This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

            https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

            davep@infosec.exchangeD This user is from outside of this forum
            davep@infosec.exchangeD This user is from outside of this forum
            davep@infosec.exchange
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #179

            @hzulla According to a friend on another forum, "Octopus put in staggered starts to EV charging sessions to obviate spikes" which seems to cover a large percentage of future demand spikes (in the UK at least).

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

              This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

              https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

              vpz@infosec.exchangeV This user is from outside of this forum
              vpz@infosec.exchangeV This user is from outside of this forum
              vpz@infosec.exchange
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #180

              @hzulla Think of all the non-system administrators, regular people, who are now using AI agents to schedule recurring tasks like the ubiquitous “morning brief”. These users aren’t thinking about jitter, and their clankers are doing as asked and delivering the output at for example 7am. This plus the preponderance of network time synchronized OS clocks is going to stack work around common times. Especially business hours.

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • mattblaze@federate.socialM mattblaze@federate.social

                @hzulla Cron, of course, dates back to a world in which:

                - computers were a significantly smaller part of the load on the power grid
                - we didn't have tightly synchronized clocks everywhere (no NTP yet)
                - we didn't have architectures in which power consumption was as tightly linked to computational load

                Software often outlives all sorts of assumptions!

                dingens@troet.cafeD This user is from outside of this forum
                dingens@troet.cafeD This user is from outside of this forum
                dingens@troet.cafe
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #181

                @mattblaze @hzulla I doubt cron is a relevant part of it.
                From the article: "In Ireland, for example, where data centres with large-scale battery storage systems currently account for around a fifth of the country’s electricity demand, the amplitude of the 1-minute signal quadrupled between 2016 and 2021"

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                • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

                  It is such an obvious cause once you think about it, and yet before you hear about this, no software developer or maintainer ever considers the possible effects of e.g. a default Debian cron job setting on the global electricity grid.

                  dlatchx@fedi.tfnux.orgD This user is from outside of this forum
                  dlatchx@fedi.tfnux.orgD This user is from outside of this forum
                  dlatchx@fedi.tfnux.org
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #182

                  @hzulla that's why most server/industrial computer motherboards have a setting to add a random delay when rebooting...

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • benjamineskola@hachyderm.ioB benjamineskola@hachyderm.io

                    @hzulla would it actually help? Cron would still wake up at the minute mark in order to sleep again for a few more seconds.

                    I suppose you’d have two smaller spikes: at the minute, and some seconds later; and the second one would be different for every machine and so average out on a global scale. The first spike would still exist, just smaller, perhaps.

                    ganxel@oldbytes.spaceG This user is from outside of this forum
                    ganxel@oldbytes.spaceG This user is from outside of this forum
                    ganxel@oldbytes.space
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #183

                    @benjamineskola @hzulla the overhead of the cron scheduler is surely going to be only a tiny fraction of the job itself, indistinguishable from idle.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • eq@mas.toE eq@mas.to

                      @funkylab @benjamineskola @hzulla When I first started with computers we had gotten our hands on some old harddrives that were about 5 cm thick. They had some jumper settings for how many seconds to delay spinup on boot. Since they were pretty heavy the engines would draw too much power if you start two harddrives at the same time and kill the power to the computer. I think the new hdd's we bought when we had money had the same thing for a few years.

                      My cron jobs are still all running a few minutes off the hour where I can thanks to this experience. Some have randomized wait times between starts.

                      ganxel@oldbytes.spaceG This user is from outside of this forum
                      ganxel@oldbytes.spaceG This user is from outside of this forum
                      ganxel@oldbytes.space
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #184

                      @eq @funkylab @benjamineskola @hzulla ah yes; remember when (external) hard drives needed to be "spun up" for 15-30 seconds before turning on the machine? My Atari Falcon had a *very* loud Seagate SCSI/ACSI drive that was temperamental like that. Also it's been 16 years since it went in the attic so it's probably a paperweight now.

                      eq@mas.toE 1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

                        This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

                        https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

                        outofspace@berlin.socialO This user is from outside of this forum
                        outofspace@berlin.socialO This user is from outside of this forum
                        outofspace@berlin.social
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #185

                        @hzulla

                        Funny though... I have a cron job asking chatGPT for a summary of the 100 hottest news from 32 countries every full hour.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • ganxel@oldbytes.spaceG ganxel@oldbytes.space

                          @eq @funkylab @benjamineskola @hzulla ah yes; remember when (external) hard drives needed to be "spun up" for 15-30 seconds before turning on the machine? My Atari Falcon had a *very* loud Seagate SCSI/ACSI drive that was temperamental like that. Also it's been 16 years since it went in the attic so it's probably a paperweight now.

                          eq@mas.toE This user is from outside of this forum
                          eq@mas.toE This user is from outside of this forum
                          eq@mas.to
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #186

                          @ganxel Yes, I also had a falcon but it had a standard IDE drive since it was rebuilt into a tower by some swedish company I think. It was rather nice until I plugged it in to copy all the files. The powersupply in the house wasn't the best, it gave less than it was supposed to do and that gave too much power to the HDD cable and it started burning.

                          Beware of low quality third party PC PSU's 🙂

                          ganxel@oldbytes.spaceG 1 Reply Last reply
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                          • canageek@wandering.shopC This user is from outside of this forum
                            canageek@wandering.shopC This user is from outside of this forum
                            canageek@wandering.shop
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #187

                            @psymar @maya_b I really don't think that is why: Canadiens do use electric kettles and they still are safer and work better then the microwave and we are in the same power grid as you.

                            (You should never boil water in the microwave, there is a small chance if you use a smooth enough glass that it won't boil when it pushes one the BP due to a lack of nucleation sites... until you touch the glass and disturb the water and it suddenly boils all at once)

                            maya_b@hachyderm.ioM 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • canageek@wandering.shopC canageek@wandering.shop

                              @psymar @maya_b I really don't think that is why: Canadiens do use electric kettles and they still are safer and work better then the microwave and we are in the same power grid as you.

                              (You should never boil water in the microwave, there is a small chance if you use a smooth enough glass that it won't boil when it pushes one the BP due to a lack of nucleation sites... until you touch the glass and disturb the water and it suddenly boils all at once)

                              maya_b@hachyderm.ioM This user is from outside of this forum
                              maya_b@hachyderm.ioM This user is from outside of this forum
                              maya_b@hachyderm.io
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #188

                              @Canageek

                              plus electric is so much more convenient that stove top kettles which were the norm when I was growing up.

                              @psymar

                              amgine@mamot.frA 1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • eq@mas.toE eq@mas.to

                                @ganxel Yes, I also had a falcon but it had a standard IDE drive since it was rebuilt into a tower by some swedish company I think. It was rather nice until I plugged it in to copy all the files. The powersupply in the house wasn't the best, it gave less than it was supposed to do and that gave too much power to the HDD cable and it started burning.

                                Beware of low quality third party PC PSU's 🙂

                                ganxel@oldbytes.spaceG This user is from outside of this forum
                                ganxel@oldbytes.spaceG This user is from outside of this forum
                                ganxel@oldbytes.space
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #189

                                @eq ooh that tower setup sounds neat! Maybe similar to the "Medusa" machines?

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

                                  Ok, so this went surprisingly viral. What I learned from the responses so far:

                                  The main "problem" is the synchronised clock and too many developers using the minute mark for task scheduling default settings.

                                  Having mass-deployed systems doing a thing at the exact same time causing trouble has been known to sysadmins for decades. Solutions readily exist for various task schedulers. However, inexperienced developers and maintainers still default to using the minute mark.

                                  Our industry learns and unlearns this phenomenon again and again.

                                  (I personally certainly have experienced this in my line of work, too, but...)

                                  People may be aware of the problem of synchronised tasks on mass-deployed software for their own distributed system, but I'm mostly surprised that the effect is even visible within the global electricity grid.

                                  So while simple solutions exist since forever, it's unclear how our industry can keep this knowledge alive to avoid future generations doing this little mistake all over again and again.

                                  bob_zim@infosec.exchangeB This user is from outside of this forum
                                  bob_zim@infosec.exchangeB This user is from outside of this forum
                                  bob_zim@infosec.exchange
                                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                                  #190

                                  @hzulla Yeah, lots of people responsible for distributed systems haven’t been taught the ways of thinking about them.

                                  My work team just deployed a scheduled I/O-heavy job (storage snapshots on a non-CoW filesystem) to about a hundred physical servers. The original plan was to push out exactly the same config to all of them. Everybody understood the problem once I pointed it out, but it’s just not something most people consider.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

                                    Ok, so this went surprisingly viral. What I learned from the responses so far:

                                    The main "problem" is the synchronised clock and too many developers using the minute mark for task scheduling default settings.

                                    Having mass-deployed systems doing a thing at the exact same time causing trouble has been known to sysadmins for decades. Solutions readily exist for various task schedulers. However, inexperienced developers and maintainers still default to using the minute mark.

                                    Our industry learns and unlearns this phenomenon again and again.

                                    (I personally certainly have experienced this in my line of work, too, but...)

                                    People may be aware of the problem of synchronised tasks on mass-deployed software for their own distributed system, but I'm mostly surprised that the effect is even visible within the global electricity grid.

                                    So while simple solutions exist since forever, it's unclear how our industry can keep this knowledge alive to avoid future generations doing this little mistake all over again and again.

                                    alan@zeroes.caA This user is from outside of this forum
                                    alan@zeroes.caA This user is from outside of this forum
                                    alan@zeroes.ca
                                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                                    #191

                                    @hzulla People also tend to schedule things on the hour/half-hour, or at multiples of five minutes, in part because cron syntax makes that easier.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • drscriptt@oldbytes.spaceD drscriptt@oldbytes.space

                                      @oclsc @SteveBellovin @mattblaze @hzulla nice trick delaying based on the last octet.

                                      Though I might add some other time / date attribute to the mix so lower IP doesn’t always beat higher IP.

                                      But I like the base idea, a lot.

                                      oclsc@mstdn.caO This user is from outside of this forum
                                      oclsc@mstdn.caO This user is from outside of this forum
                                      oclsc@mstdn.ca
                                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                                      #192

                                      @drscriptt @SteveBellovin @mattblaze @hzulla It's not about randomizing, really, just spreading. It's OK if several systems hit at the same time, just not the whole head.

                                      drscriptt@oldbytes.spaceD 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • maya_b@hachyderm.ioM maya_b@hachyderm.io

                                        @Canageek

                                        plus electric is so much more convenient that stove top kettles which were the norm when I was growing up.

                                        @psymar

                                        amgine@mamot.frA This user is from outside of this forum
                                        amgine@mamot.frA This user is from outside of this forum
                                        amgine@mamot.fr
                                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                                        #193

                                        @maya_b @Canageek @psymar

                                        Some of us just want hot water. I have an electric kettle which is 15+ yo, a stovetop, several microwave-safe tea pots (yes, they warn about the sudden boil effect, a 'feature' when adding the tea strainer of leaves) and recently sold a cast iron kettle (I no longer have a solid fuel heater, but the buyer does.)

                                        I miss the on-demand thermocouple water tap supplying 99°.

                                        maya_b@hachyderm.ioM canageek@wandering.shopC 2 Replies Last reply
                                        0
                                        • amgine@mamot.frA amgine@mamot.fr

                                          @maya_b @Canageek @psymar

                                          Some of us just want hot water. I have an electric kettle which is 15+ yo, a stovetop, several microwave-safe tea pots (yes, they warn about the sudden boil effect, a 'feature' when adding the tea strainer of leaves) and recently sold a cast iron kettle (I no longer have a solid fuel heater, but the buyer does.)

                                          I miss the on-demand thermocouple water tap supplying 99°.

                                          maya_b@hachyderm.ioM This user is from outside of this forum
                                          maya_b@hachyderm.ioM This user is from outside of this forum
                                          maya_b@hachyderm.io
                                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                                          #194

                                          @Amgine

                                          on demand taps are great. have one here too.

                                          @Canageek @psymar

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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