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  3. This is FASCINATING.

This is FASCINATING.

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  • damonhd@mastodon.socialD damonhd@mastodon.social

    @josh @hzulla Some of us have been worrying about this for decades! B^>

    @edavies

    josh@fediscience.orgJ This user is from outside of this forum
    josh@fediscience.orgJ This user is from outside of this forum
    josh@fediscience.org
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #54

    @DamonHD @hzulla @edavies
    That’s really interesting. What are some early conversations you remember? Now that I have 20/20 hindsight I’d like to learn more.

    damonhd@mastodon.socialD 1 Reply Last reply
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    • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

      This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

      https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

      ross_@mastodon.gamedev.placeR This user is from outside of this forum
      ross_@mastodon.gamedev.placeR This user is from outside of this forum
      ross_@mastodon.gamedev.place
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #55

      @hzulla They don't actually say how they got synchronized though; how "the start of every minute" somehow lines up across totally different locations.

      Presumably the *actual* problem here is that things are connected to the internet and can therefore synchronize their timers precisely?

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

        It is such an obvious cause once you think about it, and yet before you hear about this, no software developer or maintainer ever considers the possible effects of e.g. a default Debian cron job setting on the global electricity grid.

        _ryekdarkener_@mastodon.social_ This user is from outside of this forum
        _ryekdarkener_@mastodon.social_ This user is from outside of this forum
        _ryekdarkener_@mastodon.social
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #56

        @hzulla

        The interesting question is if this randomisation might become necessary in case more and mor datacenters run more and more cron-jobs or other jobs historically timed at fixed hours?

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

          It is such an obvious cause once you think about it, and yet before you hear about this, no software developer or maintainer ever considers the possible effects of e.g. a default Debian cron job setting on the global electricity grid.

          kurt@mastodon.nelson.funK This user is from outside of this forum
          kurt@mastodon.nelson.funK This user is from outside of this forum
          kurt@mastodon.nelson.fun
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #57

          @hzulla in the early Android days, cell network operators were confused by sudden stampedes on a regular schedule. Turns out, all phones were checking for OTAs roughly at the same time. Google didn't notice because to them it was noise and expected.

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

            This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

            https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

            pascalgi@techhub.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
            pascalgi@techhub.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
            pascalgi@techhub.social
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #58

            @hzulla Crazy how such a small software design detail can have a real impact on the entire power grid. Never thought synchronized tasks could cause this kind of problem.

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

              This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

              https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

              msh@coales.coM This user is from outside of this forum
              msh@coales.coM This user is from outside of this forum
              msh@coales.co
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #59

              @hzulla systemd timer units have just such a randomising setting but the default is zero so this is in essence a demonstration of the Power of The Default Setting

              nelson@tech.lgbtN 1 Reply Last reply
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              • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

                It is such an obvious cause once you think about it, and yet before you hear about this, no software developer or maintainer ever considers the possible effects of e.g. a default Debian cron job setting on the global electricity grid.

                maya_b@hachyderm.ioM This user is from outside of this forum
                maya_b@hachyderm.ioM This user is from outside of this forum
                maya_b@hachyderm.io
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #60

                @hzulla

                UK tv broadcasters had to deliberately stagger their commercial breaks as everyone put the kettle on to make tea during the commercials. And none of that non-British 1kW kettle nonsense, proper British kettles are 3kW!

                notsoloud@expressional.socialN azonenberg@ioc.exchangeA darkling@mstdn.socialD 3 Replies Last reply
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                • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

                  This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

                  https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

                  adrianco@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                  adrianco@mastodon.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                  adrianco@mastodon.social
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #61

                  @hzulla This is a fairly well known problem. The AWS Well Architected Guide for Sustainability (which I helped write 5 years ago) talks about using cron-jitter to prevent synchronized load spikes in networks and control planes. You also get better performance as jobs aren’t competing for resources. There’s a bigger issue now with AI training runs turning on many GPUs at the same time.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

                    This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

                    https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

                    czauner@social.vivaldi.netC This user is from outside of this forum
                    czauner@social.vivaldi.netC This user is from outside of this forum
                    czauner@social.vivaldi.net
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #62

                    @hzulla

                    The Linux Cron doesn't have a -J / -j option?

                    Sorry, I'm too lazy to look that up, but that's what I'm using on BSD. Not because I care for the power-grid, but It keeps load-spikes at bay (hello, Disk-IO)

                    drwho@masto.hackers.townD 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • josh@fediscience.orgJ josh@fediscience.org

                      @DamonHD @hzulla @edavies
                      That’s really interesting. What are some early conversations you remember? Now that I have 20/20 hindsight I’d like to learn more.

                      damonhd@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                      damonhd@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                      damonhd@mastodon.social
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #63

                      @josh @hzulla @edavies Ed in particular said words ~20 years ago to the effect of all our NTP-synchronised loads would be hurting the grid...

                      I introduced NTP to at least one trading floor, where synchronisation is good, but my distributed systems design tools to avoid accidental deadly embraces have long long included randomisation and prime numbers!

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • hanscees@ieji.deH hanscees@ieji.de

                        @DamonHD @GiantGinkgo @hzulla I would just take the entire cronfiles on all your computers and change all 0 minutes to a random value. Thats random enough no?

                        damonhd@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                        damonhd@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                        damonhd@mastodon.social
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #64

                        @hanscees @GiantGinkgo @hzulla No. That's good and helpful and I do a lot of that, but the fact that cron starts everything on the start of *any* minute is part of the issue here.

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                        • funkylab@mastodon.socialF funkylab@mastodon.social

                          @davidrylander yeah sure, and it's also the least necessary application of awk to implement something the shell that starts awk can already do itself.
                          But you wouldn't do that on Debian at all, but just simply use a timer that's randomized.
                          `systemd-run --on-calendar=your_time_specification --timer-property=RandomizedDelaySec=33 your_command_here`

                          @DamonHD @GiantGinkgo @hzulla

                          damonhd@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                          damonhd@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                          damonhd@mastodon.social
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #65

                          @funkylab @davidrylander @GiantGinkgo @hzulla So I run on a variety of *nixen and shells, and awk works well enough for my purposes. The facility you described arrived long after I started doing some of this stuff, but yes, I am thinking of upgrading.

                          funkylab@mastodon.socialF 1 Reply Last reply
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                          • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

                            This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

                            https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

                            jspath55@chaos.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                            jspath55@chaos.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                            jspath55@chaos.social
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #66

                            @hzulla Enterprise scheduling apps like CA AutoSys would kick off thousands if not millions a day, in places like stock brokers. The latency of the event management processor was a big deal. Users all wanting their daily reports kicked off at 08:00:00.000 would cause lags.
                            Even with multithreading there were not simultaneous bursts of work as they was a logic matrix to work through, unlike cron commands.

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                            • damonhd@mastodon.socialD damonhd@mastodon.social

                              @funkylab @davidrylander @GiantGinkgo @hzulla So I run on a variety of *nixen and shells, and awk works well enough for my purposes. The facility you described arrived long after I started doing some of this stuff, but yes, I am thinking of upgrading.

                              funkylab@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                              funkylab@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                              funkylab@mastodon.social
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #67

                              @DamonHD no, I don't mean systemd-run as what makes awk unnecessary here; the fact that any POSIX shell supports arithmetic expansion `$(( ))` and that basically all korn shell and bourne shell descendants (ksh[93], ash, {Net,Free}BSD bourne sh, OpenBSD [k]sh, bash, zsh, busybox sh…) support `RANDOM` means you can just `sleep $(( RANDOM % 33 ))` here instead of invoking awk to get a random number.

                              damonhd@mastodon.socialD 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • hzulla@infosec.exchangeH hzulla@infosec.exchange

                                This is FASCINATING. Researchers were able to pin down the cause of measurable global 60 second power spikes to software that does regular checks on the minute mark. They found large scale battery installations as one major cause, but obviously this is true for any other computerized system that does cron jobs and has a synchronized clock. As weird as it sounds, adding random 0-59.999s delays to cron jobs in Linux distributions and other software would actually help the power grid.

                                https://www.fz-juelich.de/en/news/archive/press-release/2026/mystery-of-60-second-fluctuations-in-power-grids-solved

                                C This user is from outside of this forum
                                C This user is from outside of this forum
                                closeted_unionist@mastodon.social
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #68

                                @hzulla I don't understand. How does simultaneous power checks dip the frequency (in original paper)? Like I understand that at every minute mark there is some job running, but shouldn't the computation/ power usage be cheap for this?

                                newstik@social.heise.deN 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • funkylab@mastodon.socialF funkylab@mastodon.social

                                  @DamonHD no, I don't mean systemd-run as what makes awk unnecessary here; the fact that any POSIX shell supports arithmetic expansion `$(( ))` and that basically all korn shell and bourne shell descendants (ksh[93], ash, {Net,Free}BSD bourne sh, OpenBSD [k]sh, bash, zsh, busybox sh…) support `RANDOM` means you can just `sleep $(( RANDOM % 33 ))` here instead of invoking awk to get a random number.

                                  damonhd@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  damonhd@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  damonhd@mastodon.social
                                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                                  #69

                                  @funkylab I don't think I can in sh (actually dash), but certainly couldn't at some point in the past when I first tried. I am an old dog, and once a trick works I tend to keep it as-is!

                                  % sh
                                  $ echo $RANDOM

                                  $

                                  So I still can't on my server's sh...

                                  Nor my preferred interactive csh/tcsh:

                                  % echo $RANDOM
                                  RANDOM: Undefined variable.

                                  So, none of the shells that I actually use still!

                                  funkylab@mastodon.socialF 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • damonhd@mastodon.socialD damonhd@mastodon.social

                                    @funkylab I don't think I can in sh (actually dash), but certainly couldn't at some point in the past when I first tried. I am an old dog, and once a trick works I tend to keep it as-is!

                                    % sh
                                    $ echo $RANDOM

                                    $

                                    So I still can't on my server's sh...

                                    Nor my preferred interactive csh/tcsh:

                                    % echo $RANDOM
                                    RANDOM: Undefined variable.

                                    So, none of the shells that I actually use still!

                                    funkylab@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                                    funkylab@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                                    funkylab@mastodon.social
                                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                                    #70

                                    @DamonHD huh, strange, what's your server's `sh` exactly (as in version? does `dash` have an especially restrictive POSIX mode?) Because, it doesn't seem to be in the listing of shells I just gave, or I'm missing something. It's not like I didn't look before I wrote that list 🙂

                                    damonhd@mastodon.socialD 1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • funkylab@mastodon.socialF funkylab@mastodon.social

                                      @DamonHD huh, strange, what's your server's `sh` exactly (as in version? does `dash` have an especially restrictive POSIX mode?) Because, it doesn't seem to be in the listing of shells I just gave, or I'm missing something. It's not like I didn't look before I wrote that list 🙂

                                      damonhd@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                      damonhd@mastodon.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                                      damonhd@mastodon.social
                                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                                      #71

                                      @funkylab My server's sh is actually dash, but I have been using *nix systems long enough for sh to have actually being the sh with a 56kB memory footprint!

                                      funkylab@mastodon.socialF 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • damonhd@mastodon.socialD damonhd@mastodon.social

                                        @funkylab My server's sh is actually dash, but I have been using *nix systems long enough for sh to have actually being the sh with a 56kB memory footprint!

                                        funkylab@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                                        funkylab@mastodon.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                                        funkylab@mastodon.social
                                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                                        #72

                                        @DamonHD yes, but as said, the OG korn shell does this. And that thing is from 1983. I am always a bit interested in computational history, but never in "my beard is greyer than yours, my neck less kempt!" competitions.

                                        damonhd@mastodon.socialD 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • benjamineskola@hachyderm.ioB benjamineskola@hachyderm.io

                                          @funkylab I mean, yeah, if you modified cron to do so. I was assuming that this was adding a random sleep to the start of the cron job itself, which was perhaps a misinterpretation. (I think OpenBSD cron already has this feature, but I’m not sure if it avoids the wake up or only delays the start of the task; and I haven’t seen it in other crons.)

                                          Although of course this might be a premature optimisation, because it hasn’t been shown that there’s a measurable amount of energy being used by cron wakeups in the first place.

                                          @hzulla

                                          gabrielesvelto@mas.toG This user is from outside of this forum
                                          gabrielesvelto@mas.toG This user is from outside of this forum
                                          gabrielesvelto@mas.to
                                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                                          #73

                                          @benjamineskola @funkylab @hzulla maybe I'm off the mark here but cron implementations have always honored the RANDOM_DELAY env variable and it's always been recommended to set it to a non-zero value. IIRC systemd timers also honor it but I don't know if it's set by default or not.

                                          damonhd@mastodon.socialD itgrrl@infosec.exchangeI 2 Replies Last reply
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