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  3. New study by the National Bureau of Economic Research: A survey of 6000 CFOs, CEOS throughout US, Europe, UK and Australia comes to the conclusion that businesses predict that "AI" will improve productivity by a whopping 1.4%.

New study by the National Bureau of Economic Research: A survey of 6000 CFOs, CEOS throughout US, Europe, UK and Australia comes to the conclusion that businesses predict that "AI" will improve productivity by a whopping 1.4%.

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  • amorpheus@kind.socialA amorpheus@kind.social

    @ftranschel @tante Yet knowing that ai is not profitable enough to legitimize the effort, they all continue their agenda. I wonder why. 🤔

    Are they stupid or do they see revenue where the market does not?

    Now this is just a thought, not a conviction...

    If the current ai hype proceeds, it will become an unvaluable tool for worldwide surveilance and oppression.

    ftranschel@norden.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
    ftranschel@norden.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
    ftranschel@norden.social
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #21

    @Amorpheus @tante

    Conspiracies aside: In a bubble market, it *is* possible to transfer wealth even if there is *none* in the long run.

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    • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

      New study by the National Bureau of Economic Research: A survey of 6000 CFOs, CEOS throughout US, Europe, UK and Australia comes to the conclusion that businesses predict that "AI" will improve productivity by a whopping 1.4%. Truly earth shattering.

      https://www.nber.org/papers/w34836

      collimated_thought@defcon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
      collimated_thought@defcon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
      collimated_thought@defcon.social
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #22

      @tante And yet "Despite $30–40 billion in enterprise investment into GenAI, this report uncovers a surprising result in that 95% of organizations are getting zero return." From an MIT study on the outcome of AI projects. https://mlq.ai/media/quarterly_decks/v0.1_State_of_AI_in_Business_2025_Report.pdf

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      • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

        New study by the National Bureau of Economic Research: A survey of 6000 CFOs, CEOS throughout US, Europe, UK and Australia comes to the conclusion that businesses predict that "AI" will improve productivity by a whopping 1.4%. Truly earth shattering.

        https://www.nber.org/papers/w34836

        rainer_rehak@mastodon.bits-und-baeume.orgR This user is from outside of this forum
        rainer_rehak@mastodon.bits-und-baeume.orgR This user is from outside of this forum
        rainer_rehak@mastodon.bits-und-baeume.org
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #23

        @tante I guess this already small increase mostly comes from people working longer working hours now because of the bosses' high expectations when introducing "#AI" tools.

        Also see this related news: https://techcrunch.com/2026/02/09/the-first-signs-of-burnout-are-coming-from-the-people-who-embrace-ai-the-most/

        tante@tldr.nettime.orgT 1 Reply Last reply
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        • rainer_rehak@mastodon.bits-und-baeume.orgR rainer_rehak@mastodon.bits-und-baeume.org

          @tante I guess this already small increase mostly comes from people working longer working hours now because of the bosses' high expectations when introducing "#AI" tools.

          Also see this related news: https://techcrunch.com/2026/02/09/the-first-signs-of-burnout-are-coming-from-the-people-who-embrace-ai-the-most/

          tante@tldr.nettime.orgT This user is from outside of this forum
          tante@tldr.nettime.orgT This user is from outside of this forum
          tante@tldr.nettime.org
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #24

          @Rainer_Rehak Might be. Right now about half is just "firing people" (which then gets the rest to do what you described) and the hope for very marginal output increases.

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          • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

            @q you can check out the results and comments. What do you think the researchers did wrong? Did the CEOs lie?

            maxheadroom@hub.uckermark.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
            maxheadroom@hub.uckermark.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
            maxheadroom@hub.uckermark.social
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #25

            @tante @q this. It's a survey that asked for their opinions (partially). The CEOs and CFOs and other C-suite execs in these surveys surely have no clue what's going on in the daily life of their employees who have to actually work with all the AI stuff. The C-level guys don't even read their own email but have staff summarising them in PowerPoint's. So I'd say the data basis is very thin here...

            tante@tldr.nettime.orgT 1 Reply Last reply
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            • maxheadroom@hub.uckermark.socialM maxheadroom@hub.uckermark.social

              @tante @q this. It's a survey that asked for their opinions (partially). The CEOs and CFOs and other C-suite execs in these surveys surely have no clue what's going on in the daily life of their employees who have to actually work with all the AI stuff. The C-level guys don't even read their own email but have staff summarising them in PowerPoint's. So I'd say the data basis is very thin here...

              tante@tldr.nettime.orgT This user is from outside of this forum
              tante@tldr.nettime.orgT This user is from outside of this forum
              tante@tldr.nettime.org
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #26

              @maxheadroom @q they do know (at least for the last years) the numbers: How much OpEx and CapEx are there in contrast to revenue. So They can pretty accurately say what happened in the past without knowing who works how

              maxheadroom@hub.uckermark.socialM 1 Reply Last reply
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              • tante@tldr.nettime.orgT tante@tldr.nettime.org

                @maxheadroom @q they do know (at least for the last years) the numbers: How much OpEx and CapEx are there in contrast to revenue. So They can pretty accurately say what happened in the past without knowing who works how

                maxheadroom@hub.uckermark.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                maxheadroom@hub.uckermark.socialM This user is from outside of this forum
                maxheadroom@hub.uckermark.social
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #27

                @tante @q I still question their capacity to relate this to AI one way or the other. Nevertheless, the low value of expected increase is still telling. Given the cost and likely increase in opex by all the users.

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                • jwcph@helvede.netJ jwcph@helvede.net shared this topic
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