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  3. A point most authors studiously ignore is that the real world is *complex*.

A point most authors studiously ignore is that the real world is *complex*.

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  • cstross@wandering.shopC cstross@wandering.shop

    RE: https://wandering.shop/@cstross/117110021420097079

    A point most authors studiously ignore is that the real world is *complex*.

    Take spy thrillers. An American one might feature the CIA or, in extremis, the NSA. Up against one rival agency.

    But in reality, there's a civil service clearinghouse called the United States Intelligence Community that has nineteen stakeholder members, each of which is an intel agency. Its job is to keep them from stomping on each other's toes.

    Now ask yourself if any other nation's bureaucracy is plausibly simpler.

    majohashi@mastodon.greenM This user is from outside of this forum
    majohashi@mastodon.greenM This user is from outside of this forum
    majohashi@mastodon.green
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #53

    @cstross

    https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/kex3d9/collapse_book_club_discussion_of_immoderate/

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • dereisenhofer@metalhead.clubD dereisenhofer@metalhead.club

      @cstross That's a good one. Pretty much describes my impression.

      jannem@fosstodon.orgJ This user is from outside of this forum
      jannem@fosstodon.orgJ This user is from outside of this forum
      jannem@fosstodon.org
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #54

      @dereisenhofer @cstross
      Or the classic "desert planet". As if anything planet-sized and and not frozen solid will have a uniform climate.

      dereisenhofer@metalhead.clubD 1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • davidtheeviloverlord@mastodon.socialD davidtheeviloverlord@mastodon.social

        @cstross

        I remember an episode of Get Smart where he went undercover. At the end of the episode, he discovered that every one of the bad guys was an undercover agent, all from different agencies, and nobody knew they were all gathering intel on each other.

        kats@chaosfem.twK This user is from outside of this forum
        kats@chaosfem.twK This user is from outside of this forum
        kats@chaosfem.tw
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #55

        @davidtheeviloverlord @cstross Now I need to watch Cypher again.

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • cstross@wandering.shopC cstross@wandering.shop

          PS: I'm not making this up. More about the US Intelligence Community here:

          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Intelligence_Community

          "The Washington Post reported in 2010 that there were 1,271 government organizations and 1,931 private companies in 10,000 locations in the United States that were working on counterterrorism, homeland security, and intelligence, and that the intelligence community as a whole would include 854,000 people holding top-secret clearances."

          kats@chaosfem.twK This user is from outside of this forum
          kats@chaosfem.twK This user is from outside of this forum
          kats@chaosfem.tw
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #56

          @cstross ...and I thought Trevanian was exaggerating for effect in The Eiger Sanction, about CII being named for the 102 agencies that had been merged to create it.

          cstross@wandering.shopC 1 Reply Last reply
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          • jannem@fosstodon.orgJ jannem@fosstodon.org

            @cstross
            Never mind all non-governmental organizations big enough to need/want their own security or intelligence apparatuses. Apparatii?

            Huge multinationals; drug cartels; resistance movements ...

            somevegancheeseisok@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
            somevegancheeseisok@mastodon.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
            somevegancheeseisok@mastodon.social
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #57

            @jannem @cstross Disney

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            • kats@chaosfem.twK kats@chaosfem.tw

              @cstross ...and I thought Trevanian was exaggerating for effect in The Eiger Sanction, about CII being named for the 102 agencies that had been merged to create it.

              cstross@wandering.shopC This user is from outside of this forum
              cstross@wandering.shopC This user is from outside of this forum
              cstross@wandering.shop
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #58

              @KatS It's a very long time since I read Trevanian but their fic had a certain feel of truthiness about the angle it approached intelligence from that makes me think they were once an insider, or insider-adjacent.

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • jannem@fosstodon.orgJ jannem@fosstodon.org

                @dereisenhofer @cstross
                Or the classic "desert planet". As if anything planet-sized and and not frozen solid will have a uniform climate.

                dereisenhofer@metalhead.clubD This user is from outside of this forum
                dereisenhofer@metalhead.clubD This user is from outside of this forum
                dereisenhofer@metalhead.club
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #59

                @jannem The wild west planet where everybody lives on a farm. The ice planet, the crystal planet, etc. etm. @cstross

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • venya@musicians.todayV venya@musicians.today

                  @cstross

                  Once upon a time I was in the middle east responsible for all of a specific type of activity conducted by the combined joint special operations task force. In the 9th month of our deployment, preparing to head home, I was still learning of the EXISTENCE of teams below me doing that activity; I'd no notion of WHAT they were doing, except that I knew beyond doubt that it wasn't being done right because it would've had to come through me.

                  Whole system is broke.

                  tarbh@mastodon.ieT This user is from outside of this forum
                  tarbh@mastodon.ieT This user is from outside of this forum
                  tarbh@mastodon.ie
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #60

                  @venya @cstross Would Task #1 on Day #1 not have been "Give me an org chart covering all of the teams I'm responsible for!"

                  cstross@wandering.shopC venya@musicians.todayV robotistry@fediscience.orgR 3 Replies Last reply
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                  • tarbh@mastodon.ieT tarbh@mastodon.ie

                    @venya @cstross Would Task #1 on Day #1 not have been "Give me an org chart covering all of the teams I'm responsible for!"

                    cstross@wandering.shopC This user is from outside of this forum
                    cstross@wandering.shopC This user is from outside of this forum
                    cstross@wandering.shop
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #61

                    @Tarbh @venya I'm sorry but half the boxes on the org chart are labelled [CLASSIFIED]. And the org chart itself is [CLASSIFIED] above your level.

                    Srsly, I've heard anecdotes about folks tasked with writing reports that were then classified so high they weren't allowed to read them—or then to amend them where found to be factually incorrect.

                    venya@musicians.todayV jimfl@hachyderm.ioJ 2 Replies Last reply
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                    • tarbh@mastodon.ieT tarbh@mastodon.ie

                      @venya @cstross Would Task #1 on Day #1 not have been "Give me an org chart covering all of the teams I'm responsible for!"

                      venya@musicians.todayV This user is from outside of this forum
                      venya@musicians.todayV This user is from outside of this forum
                      venya@musicians.today
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #62

                      @Tarbh

                      @cstross

                      The unspoken implication here is that ANYONE knew. The people we took over from certainly didn't.

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • cstross@wandering.shopC cstross@wandering.shop

                        @Tarbh @venya I'm sorry but half the boxes on the org chart are labelled [CLASSIFIED]. And the org chart itself is [CLASSIFIED] above your level.

                        Srsly, I've heard anecdotes about folks tasked with writing reports that were then classified so high they weren't allowed to read them—or then to amend them where found to be factually incorrect.

                        venya@musicians.todayV This user is from outside of this forum
                        venya@musicians.todayV This user is from outside of this forum
                        venya@musicians.today
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #63

                        @cstross

                        @Tarbh

                        Aside from clearance, there is also need-to-know. I frequently encountered situations toward the end of my career when I would try to refer someone to something I'd written years before in a different role that I myself no longer had access to.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • cstross@wandering.shopC cstross@wandering.shop

                          Now, I'm currently grappling with a space opera set in a mid-sized interstellar empire governed by backbiting aristocrats/planetary despots, with 8000 star systems, multiple settled worlds/habitats per system, and travel times measured in weeks to months. Multiple governments per planet aren't unusual.

                          How many intel/secret police forces do you think *that* setting requires? Just saying "it's an empire, duh!" elides all the complexity a glance at the history of John Company would reveal.

                          haihappen@social.anoxinon.deH This user is from outside of this forum
                          haihappen@social.anoxinon.deH This user is from outside of this forum
                          haihappen@social.anoxinon.de
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #64

                          @cstross some guesstimation puts the number of people employed in "Intelligence" in the USA north of 1.5 mil people, potentially way bigger.
                          So I would put the ballpark ratio for a somewhat fascist empire at 1:100 people work on INT. If there are fewer external threats, more will be looking inward. Spanish inquisitions hunting the Spanglish Inquisition which was set up as a sting operation by another department of the SI...

                          1 Reply Last reply
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                          • cstross@wandering.shopC cstross@wandering.shop

                            RE: https://wandering.shop/@cstross/117110021420097079

                            A point most authors studiously ignore is that the real world is *complex*.

                            Take spy thrillers. An American one might feature the CIA or, in extremis, the NSA. Up against one rival agency.

                            But in reality, there's a civil service clearinghouse called the United States Intelligence Community that has nineteen stakeholder members, each of which is an intel agency. Its job is to keep them from stomping on each other's toes.

                            Now ask yourself if any other nation's bureaucracy is plausibly simpler.

                            vz@fosstodon.orgV This user is from outside of this forum
                            vz@fosstodon.orgV This user is from outside of this forum
                            vz@fosstodon.org
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #65

                            @cstross At least it's only toes in the US. Disagreements between different FSB directorates end much worse for the losing side.

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                            • cstross@wandering.shopC cstross@wandering.shop

                              RE: https://wandering.shop/@cstross/117110021420097079

                              A point most authors studiously ignore is that the real world is *complex*.

                              Take spy thrillers. An American one might feature the CIA or, in extremis, the NSA. Up against one rival agency.

                              But in reality, there's a civil service clearinghouse called the United States Intelligence Community that has nineteen stakeholder members, each of which is an intel agency. Its job is to keep them from stomping on each other's toes.

                              Now ask yourself if any other nation's bureaucracy is plausibly simpler.

                              H This user is from outside of this forum
                              H This user is from outside of this forum
                              halaana@mastodon.social
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #66

                              @cstross "... if any other nation's bureaucracy is plausibly simpler." Simpler, not really. Being less idiotic than American bureaucracy isn't much of an ask.
                              Jurisdictional pissing matches may not be uniquely American, but they not the norm elsewhere.
                              Where I live all most of those three letter agencies would just be part of either the state or federal police. The secret squirrel agencies are mostly separated by their actual function.

                              1 Reply Last reply
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                              • cstross@wandering.shopC cstross@wandering.shop

                                RE: https://wandering.shop/@cstross/117110021420097079

                                A point most authors studiously ignore is that the real world is *complex*.

                                Take spy thrillers. An American one might feature the CIA or, in extremis, the NSA. Up against one rival agency.

                                But in reality, there's a civil service clearinghouse called the United States Intelligence Community that has nineteen stakeholder members, each of which is an intel agency. Its job is to keep them from stomping on each other's toes.

                                Now ask yourself if any other nation's bureaucracy is plausibly simpler.

                                jargoggles@kolektiva.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                jargoggles@kolektiva.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                jargoggles@kolektiva.social
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #67

                                @cstross
                                And pretty much all of them are competing for bigger budgets.

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                                0
                                • cstross@wandering.shopC cstross@wandering.shop

                                  @Tarbh @venya I'm sorry but half the boxes on the org chart are labelled [CLASSIFIED]. And the org chart itself is [CLASSIFIED] above your level.

                                  Srsly, I've heard anecdotes about folks tasked with writing reports that were then classified so high they weren't allowed to read them—or then to amend them where found to be factually incorrect.

                                  jimfl@hachyderm.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                  jimfl@hachyderm.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                  jimfl@hachyderm.io
                                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                                  #68

                                  @cstross @Tarbh @venya This happens in smaller bureaucracies too. My former employer had a specific problem, and an exec believed the solution to that problem was the specific subdiscipline of cryptography I was working in at the time (I’m a builder, not a cryptographer, but I was building systems to manage cryptographic assets and processes, which has some specific duties of care), so I was asked to look at the problem

                                  Since the problem touched many areas and teams that would need to contribute or participate, I set out to codify the problem in careful prose, and to write a detailed threat model. The time eventually came to review with a senior principal engineer, and on first read through, he said “I think this needs to be privileged and confidential”

                                  So now, this work that was for a wide audience was no longer accessible by that audience

                                  At least the execs were aware that my area was not the quick and easy solution to the problem they’d assumed it was

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • flippac@types.plF flippac@types.pl

                                    @cstross I know where AO3 is, of course, but I'd like to read "the Slow Horses stumble into a Laundry op"

                                    F This user is from outside of this forum
                                    F This user is from outside of this forum
                                    froztbyte@mastodon.social
                                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                                    #69

                                    @flippac @cstross Without meaning to sound like I’m assigning homework, seconding that I think this might be quite fun!

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • cstross@wandering.shopC cstross@wandering.shop

                                      PS: I'm not making this up. More about the US Intelligence Community here:

                                      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Intelligence_Community

                                      "The Washington Post reported in 2010 that there were 1,271 government organizations and 1,931 private companies in 10,000 locations in the United States that were working on counterterrorism, homeland security, and intelligence, and that the intelligence community as a whole would include 854,000 people holding top-secret clearances."

                                      mmcknett@hachyderm.ioM This user is from outside of this forum
                                      mmcknett@hachyderm.ioM This user is from outside of this forum
                                      mmcknett@hachyderm.io
                                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                                      #70

                                      @cstross our country has more spies than it has pilots?

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • venya@musicians.todayV venya@musicians.today

                                        @cstross

                                        Once upon a time I was in the middle east responsible for all of a specific type of activity conducted by the combined joint special operations task force. In the 9th month of our deployment, preparing to head home, I was still learning of the EXISTENCE of teams below me doing that activity; I'd no notion of WHAT they were doing, except that I knew beyond doubt that it wasn't being done right because it would've had to come through me.

                                        Whole system is broke.

                                        roseraven@eldritch.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
                                        roseraven@eldritch.cafeR This user is from outside of this forum
                                        roseraven@eldritch.cafe
                                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                                        #71

                                        @venya @cstross

                                        or the whole system is "people"

                                        we've been making shit overly complicated since the day we first invented shitting.

                                        i mean instead of developing a single government we invited thousands of variations. none of which report to eachother and most of which fight.

                                        and that statement works at the world level AND the city level for most cities.

                                        we are like ants running on fungal software and working to cross purposes

                                        1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • tarbh@mastodon.ieT tarbh@mastodon.ie

                                          @venya @cstross Would Task #1 on Day #1 not have been "Give me an org chart covering all of the teams I'm responsible for!"

                                          robotistry@fediscience.orgR This user is from outside of this forum
                                          robotistry@fediscience.orgR This user is from outside of this forum
                                          robotistry@fediscience.org
                                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                                          #72

                                          @Tarbh @venya @cstross The first purpose of the office is to develop and maintain that chart, but it's never complete because groups are always being stood up or disbanded, or someone decides something needs to happen and doesn't know to reach out because no-one told them about the new office or what its responsibility was (or they *did* know about the office but had a cultural history of begging forgiveness being a better way to get the job done than asking for permission).

                                          I worked in a medium sized organization, and for a while I had *the* role that should have been responsible for knowing who was doing what relevant work in my area of responsibility. I was not able to develop said list.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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