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  3. The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

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  • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

    RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

    The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

    “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

    My dudes. No.

    mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
    mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
    mastodonmigration@mastodon.online
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #25

    @inthehands

    Next it will be asking LLMs what voters would choose and just going with that. No need for elections.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

      RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

      The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

      “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

      My dudes. No.

      chancerubbage@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
      chancerubbage@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
      chancerubbage@mastodon.social
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #26

      @inthehands @mastodonmigration @Futurism

      I think polls should all include the question:

      Did you find any of these questions leading?

      And be required to publish that result next to any results along with those that commissioned, paid for, the poll.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

        Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

        drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
        drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
        drwho@masto.hackers.town
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #27

        @inthehands Can I quote you on that?

        inthehands@hachyderm.ioI 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • drwho@masto.hackers.townD drwho@masto.hackers.town

          @inthehands Can I quote you on that?

          inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
          inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
          inthehands@hachyderm.io
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #28

          @drwho
          Any time

          drwho@masto.hackers.townD 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

            @drwho
            Any time

            drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
            drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
            drwho@masto.hackers.town
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #29

            @inthehands Thank you kindly.

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

              RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

              The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

              “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

              My dudes. No.

              jbayes@sfba.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
              jbayes@sfba.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
              jbayes@sfba.social
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #30

              @inthehands This is just a fancy new way of making shit up.

              Publishing fabricated polls as if they were legit, is called "fraud".

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

                Statistical Jesus wept.

                nosword@localization.cafeN This user is from outside of this forum
                nosword@localization.cafeN This user is from outside of this forum
                nosword@localization.cafe
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #31

                @inthehands And not just statistics! I’ve also seen certain linguists and philosophers excited about the possibility of posing grammatical/ethical judgments to LLMs in bulk, apparently fully convinced that the results would hold any meaning or value whatsoever. Can’t wait for the smug “Trolley problem objectively solved” papers

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                  OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

                  Statistical Jesus wept.

                  jwz@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  jwz@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  jwz@mastodon.social
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #32

                  @inthehands 97.5% of Jesuses wept, +/- 2%.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                    Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

                    sibylle@troet.cafeS This user is from outside of this forum
                    sibylle@troet.cafeS This user is from outside of this forum
                    sibylle@troet.cafe
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #33

                    @inthehands I prefer not to dissect animals to do my personal share of fortune telling.
                    Observing the flight of birds does not harm the environment and the analysis of it has the accuracy and potential of what is stored in my subconcius and my own filter of values.

                    And I'm serious. I whatch birds fly and ask myself, what does it tell me.

                    And at no point I doubt that this is less accurate than asking an llm.

                    I have to decide things anyways somehow to do what seems right to me.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                      (The underlying logic here is that LLMs embed biases, so you take advantage of that fact by prompting an LLM to take on a spectrum of different demographic biases that correspond to population demographics, then ask the LLM a polling question in the context of each of those demographically weighted biases.

                      So yeah, from my OP it might sound like they’re replacing polling with stabbing themselves in the face, but •actually• they’re juggling a bunch of knives and •then• stabbing themselves in the face.)

                      cinebox@masto.hackers.townC This user is from outside of this forum
                      cinebox@masto.hackers.townC This user is from outside of this forum
                      cinebox@masto.hackers.town
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #34

                      @inthehands there is no logic here. These people are just cultists.

                      from the Aaru about page: “Some of us are existentialists. Some of us believe we live in a simulation and it is our goal to prove it. All of us see our products as puzzle pieces to building whole world simulation.”

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • gnate@ohai.socialG gnate@ohai.social

                        @rjblaskiewicz @inthehands
                        It's just offal.

                        msbellows@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                        msbellows@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                        msbellows@c.im
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #35

                        @gnate @rjblaskiewicz @inthehands Entrail-based fortunetelling gets more complicated if the chicken ate tea leaves before it died.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                          RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                          The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                          “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                          My dudes. No.

                          npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                          npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                          npars01@mstdn.social
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #36

                          @inthehands

                          It took Koch Network decades to achieve "corporate personhood" with Citizens United.

                          https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/02/if-corporations-are-people-they-should-act-like-it/385034/

                          https://inthesetimes.com/article/on-the-road-against-citizens-united

                          https://www.npr.org/2014/07/28/335288388/when-did-companies-become-people-excavating-the-legal-evolution

                          Corporations can outvote real people.

                          What happens when "AI personhood" is achieved & also outvotes real people?

                          https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/sep/30/artificial-intelligence-personhood

                          https://daveshap.substack.com/p/taking-the-ai-personhood-debate-seriously

                          What happens when fake AI voters are purchased in bulk by Putin?
                          https://medium.com/intuitionmachine/the-dangers-of-artificial-intelligence-is-unavoidable-due-to-flaws-of-human-civilization-f9c131e65e5e

                          What happens when women, Immigrants, POC, & LGBTQ become non-people?

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                            (The underlying logic here is that LLMs embed biases, so you take advantage of that fact by prompting an LLM to take on a spectrum of different demographic biases that correspond to population demographics, then ask the LLM a polling question in the context of each of those demographically weighted biases.

                            So yeah, from my OP it might sound like they’re replacing polling with stabbing themselves in the face, but •actually• they’re juggling a bunch of knives and •then• stabbing themselves in the face.)

                            crystalvisits@mas.wrong.toolsC This user is from outside of this forum
                            crystalvisits@mas.wrong.toolsC This user is from outside of this forum
                            crystalvisits@mas.wrong.tools
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #37

                            THANK you. @inthehands I have been arguing with a classmate for weeks about them using "synthetic" data for transportation class. Ugh. I know I get a little incoherent with anger about AI stuff, but I do not think we should be doing statistical analysis of made-up data. We can have actual data, if we just do a little work to get it. UGH.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                              RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                              The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                              “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                              My dudes. No.

                              O This user is from outside of this forum
                              O This user is from outside of this forum
                              ocktoboy14@mastodon.social
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #38

                              @inthehands fair point, this is likely a case of AI slop (and questionable marketing)!

                              But "obviously a terrible alternative"? As far as I'm concerned it sounds like a pretty reasonable thing to try.

                              And, It might even work quite well, but only for an LLM trained without RLHF, instruction tuning, and big tech putting their hands on it. The bias there would be from the data distribution (same problem they have in the old method, "who picks up the phone?")

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                                The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                                “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                                My dudes. No.

                                antygon@mastodon.com.plA This user is from outside of this forum
                                antygon@mastodon.com.plA This user is from outside of this forum
                                antygon@mastodon.com.pl
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #39

                                @inthehands @bfaliszek Dear god. They are no poolsters, they are part of „tech bros”. I have recently listened to podcast where real poolster debunked this and all prediction markets. In both cases level of confidence is galaxy apart from good statistics.
                                So yeah, another LLM bullshit.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • pelle@veganism.socialP pelle@veganism.social shared this topic
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