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Kollaps
FARVEL BIG TECH
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  3. "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not.

"AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not.

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  • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

    "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not. I am curious to see how long the hype will last once the Nvidia ouroboros ends and money stops being pumped into marketing.

    rubentura@mas.toR This user is from outside of this forum
    rubentura@mas.toR This user is from outside of this forum
    rubentura@mas.to
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #246

    @Gargron It is so refreshing to see one of your favourite devs speak in this way about this sh*t. I swear, AI is really bringing my mood down as of late.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • golemwire@social.golemwire.comG golemwire@social.golemwire.com
      That much is true. What do you think of local models?
      kir@mastodon.unoK This user is from outside of this forum
      kir@mastodon.unoK This user is from outside of this forum
      kir@mastodon.uno
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #247

      @golemwire Local model of what? Language model for general purpose/coding?
      They are better under the consume aspect, but they share the same problem in all the other aspects (stolen training data, salevry-like training, sociological and psychological impact and so on).

      golemwire@social.golemwire.comG 1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

        "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not. I am curious to see how long the hype will last once the Nvidia ouroboros ends and money stops being pumped into marketing.

        sempf@infosec.exchangeS This user is from outside of this forum
        sempf@infosec.exchangeS This user is from outside of this forum
        sempf@infosec.exchange
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #248

        @Gargron I disagree with calling it a failed technology. The Google Brain project that spun up the topology that made the LLMs in 2016 functional was a huge step forward in machine learning in general. We've been working on AI for 70 years. No matter what they want to call it, it's more than a fucking chatbot. We need to progress this. We just need to stop treating it like it's something it isn't.

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

          @clayote the difference is that i actually use the tools and build real software with them. you are arguing about a guitar you have never played, based on people you do not respect playing it badly. that is not exactly a solid basis for judging the instrument.

          zenkat@sfba.socialZ This user is from outside of this forum
          zenkat@sfba.socialZ This user is from outside of this forum
          zenkat@sfba.social
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #249

          @skavish @clayote Great, if you are looking for someone who has actually used thesr tools in real life, I'll raise my hand. I was lead of DevAI tools at a major tech company, and I've used them to build websites, infra, and other tooling.

          While you can get these tools to write code that "works", in my experience they constantly add tech debt to your project, sometimes in obvious ways, often in subtle ways. Since they have no mental model of how the code base should work, they are constantly violating API conventions. They tend towards verbosity -- in one project, it implemented Haversine distance repeatedly in whatever class it felt it needed it, despite explicit instructions in .md files to use the canonical version.

          You can of course keep correcting the bot and eventually get decent results. But that assumes that you are doing thorough code review of *everything*, and what's more, that you yourself actually understand a code base that you aren't actively engaged in writing. That's *hard*.

          zenkat@sfba.socialZ 1 Reply Last reply
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          • zenkat@sfba.socialZ zenkat@sfba.social

            @skavish @clayote Great, if you are looking for someone who has actually used thesr tools in real life, I'll raise my hand. I was lead of DevAI tools at a major tech company, and I've used them to build websites, infra, and other tooling.

            While you can get these tools to write code that "works", in my experience they constantly add tech debt to your project, sometimes in obvious ways, often in subtle ways. Since they have no mental model of how the code base should work, they are constantly violating API conventions. They tend towards verbosity -- in one project, it implemented Haversine distance repeatedly in whatever class it felt it needed it, despite explicit instructions in .md files to use the canonical version.

            You can of course keep correcting the bot and eventually get decent results. But that assumes that you are doing thorough code review of *everything*, and what's more, that you yourself actually understand a code base that you aren't actively engaged in writing. That's *hard*.

            zenkat@sfba.socialZ This user is from outside of this forum
            zenkat@sfba.socialZ This user is from outside of this forum
            zenkat@sfba.social
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #250

            @skavish @clayote Yes, humans write shitty code too. That's why the study of software engineering processes and culture have been so critical to our field. We've learned over time how to create a process that generated useful code with imperfect humans.

            But the lessons we think we learned with human software engineering are being forgotten, or what's worse, misinterpreted. They were designed for humans, who work by building internal mental models of the world, and instinctually strive to sync their mental models with their colleagues. But LLMs do not build mental models. They predict what is most likely based on their context window. That's a vast and critical difference.

            As these tools are being used today, they are becoming engines of tech debt creation. And anyone who's worked in software knows what a trap that can be. The gains become incrementally smaller as the inertia of tech debt becomes larger. At some point, nobody knows how it works any more, and then you're fucked.

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

              "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not. I am curious to see how long the hype will last once the Nvidia ouroboros ends and money stops being pumped into marketing.

              iscarlosmolero@landofooo.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
              iscarlosmolero@landofooo.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
              iscarlosmolero@landofooo.social
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #251

              @Gargron The pursue of strong AI or the so-called “AGI” is disgusting and undesirable to start with.

              So, even if it was a path to “AGI” I would fucking hate and try to boycott it.

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • kir@mastodon.unoK kir@mastodon.uno

                @golemwire Local model of what? Language model for general purpose/coding?
                They are better under the consume aspect, but they share the same problem in all the other aspects (stolen training data, salevry-like training, sociological and psychological impact and so on).

                golemwire@social.golemwire.comG This user is from outside of this forum
                golemwire@social.golemwire.comG This user is from outside of this forum
                golemwire@social.golemwire.com
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #252
                I did mean local model as in local LLM, like Qwen, DeepSeek, or GLM, and probably for coding or other such tasks.

                I think some people don't understand the implications of posting content in the public.
                When you do that, while people can't take it and redistribute it, as far as I can tell it is fair use to use it to create something else that can then create something else that is different from the original. That seems like fair use to me, so long as the models aren't regurgitating the same training data, but that's still debated obviously.

                As for the sociological and psychological impact, this is one of the reasons I discourage some of my friends from relying on it. My usecases are narrow enough that I've only benefited. But there's little point in me avoiding using it for good purposes, since avoiding it won't stop other people from using it for bad.
                kir@mastodon.unoK 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • kernic@social.freespawn.deK kernic@social.freespawn.de

                  @Gargron @imhotep @skavish On the other hand you say in another post, that you have never used AI, but maintaining one of the biggest FOSS project on GitHub is enough expertise.

                  Im no Dev, but I assume Linux may be a even bigger FOSS project and Linus explored AI. According to your argumentation, he is as capable as you, if not more, to make guesses about GenAI.

                  Or what’s the difference, that make your opinion superior to his one?

                  olonam@masto.nuvadi.netO This user is from outside of this forum
                  olonam@masto.nuvadi.netO This user is from outside of this forum
                  olonam@masto.nuvadi.net
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #253

                  @kernic @Gargron @imhotep @skavish not «superior» I think, just watching the influx of low quality «contributions», another well documented issue in pretty much any open source repo, I think is enough experience to speak about AI impact in society irrespective of the fact that someone finds it useful.
                  The same is happening in most companies with much less visible impact at the moment. AI is an amplifier. Everyone that was slowly going in the wrong direction, now is going faster.

                  imhotep@infosec.exchangeI kernic@social.freespawn.deK 2 Replies Last reply
                  0
                  • golemwire@social.golemwire.comG golemwire@social.golemwire.com
                    I did mean local model as in local LLM, like Qwen, DeepSeek, or GLM, and probably for coding or other such tasks.

                    I think some people don't understand the implications of posting content in the public.
                    When you do that, while people can't take it and redistribute it, as far as I can tell it is fair use to use it to create something else that can then create something else that is different from the original. That seems like fair use to me, so long as the models aren't regurgitating the same training data, but that's still debated obviously.

                    As for the sociological and psychological impact, this is one of the reasons I discourage some of my friends from relying on it. My usecases are narrow enough that I've only benefited. But there's little point in me avoiding using it for good purposes, since avoiding it won't stop other people from using it for bad.
                    kir@mastodon.unoK This user is from outside of this forum
                    kir@mastodon.unoK This user is from outside of this forum
                    kir@mastodon.uno
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #254

                    @golemwire

                    What? You don't know what fair use is, man.
                    You absolutely cannot do whatever you want with things just because they are online, especially when protected by copyright or other licenses.

                    golemwire@social.golemwire.comG 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • kir@mastodon.unoK kir@mastodon.uno

                      @golemwire

                      What? You don't know what fair use is, man.
                      You absolutely cannot do whatever you want with things just because they are online, especially when protected by copyright or other licenses.

                      golemwire@social.golemwire.comG This user is from outside of this forum
                      golemwire@social.golemwire.comG This user is from outside of this forum
                      golemwire@social.golemwire.com
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #255
                      I didn't say you can do whatever you like with online things just because they're online. For example I said that you should not redistribute them and that the models should not output training data (thus redistributing, more or less). Instead, they produce new content. But the legality of training AI from random public-facing data is still debated.

                      I found this PDF from a court case with Anthropic: https://www.copyright.gov/fair-use/summaries/Bartz-v-Anthropic-PBC-787-F-Supp-3d-1007-ND-Cal-2025.pdf

                      In this court case, it was said that Anthropic could train on copyrighted works since its AI model did not output said copyrighted works. It was also concluded that Anthropic was at fault for keeping copies of the books after using them for training, and had to delete the copies.
                      I avoid Claude (haven't used it) because they apparently didn't obtain all of the books legitimately, using piracy sites for some of the downloads rather than purchasing all the books.

                      While I avoid particular LLMs, I consider LLM training in general to be fair use. Though I can't fault someone for rejecting LLMs for considering them not to be.
                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

                        "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not. I am curious to see how long the hype will last once the Nvidia ouroboros ends and money stops being pumped into marketing.

                        panmellis@mastodon.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
                        panmellis@mastodon.socialP This user is from outside of this forum
                        panmellis@mastodon.social
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #256

                        @Gargron 👌🏻 😉 😂

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • janef0421@mastodon.nzJ This user is from outside of this forum
                          janef0421@mastodon.nzJ This user is from outside of this forum
                          janef0421@mastodon.nz
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #257

                          @mellowfish @Gargron I do not find your personal experience convincing.

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                          0
                          • precariousmind@neopaquita.esP precariousmind@neopaquita.es

                            @Shes_Gabrielle @FreakyFwoof @skavish @Gargron excellent definition of centrism, and I'll stop here. Many implications.

                            jargoggles@kolektiva.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                            jargoggles@kolektiva.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                            jargoggles@kolektiva.social
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #258

                            @precariousmind
                            @Shes_Gabrielle @FreakyFwoof @skavish@welley.social @Gargron
                            Many such cases.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • kir@mastodon.unoK kir@mastodon.uno

                              @barubary @skavish @Gargron

                              They'll say it's your fault, of course.

                              skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                              skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                              skavish@welley.social
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #259

                              of course

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • kir@mastodon.unoK kir@mastodon.uno

                                @skavish @clayote

                                Besides that, your tool is built on stolen material, near-slavery training work, it's an ecological disaster and has been designed to reduce the bargain power of intellectual worker like yourself.

                                You have to be completely ignorant or a complete asshole to be ok with all this.

                                skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                skavish@welley.socialS This user is from outside of this forum
                                skavish@welley.social
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #260

                                i agree with most of that. but ai isn’t going anywhere, so might as well use it. moral outrage won’t uninvent it.

                                kir@mastodon.unoK 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

                                  "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not. I am curious to see how long the hype will last once the Nvidia ouroboros ends and money stops being pumped into marketing.

                                  tiezep@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                                  tiezep@mastodon.socialT This user is from outside of this forum
                                  tiezep@mastodon.social
                                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                                  #261

                                  @Gargron it's a direct attack on labor, be it in forced consent or forcing tech workers out of high salary jobs

                                  Unfortunately it will have staying power until we can wrangle in billionaire's

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • olonam@masto.nuvadi.netO olonam@masto.nuvadi.net

                                    @kernic @Gargron @imhotep @skavish not «superior» I think, just watching the influx of low quality «contributions», another well documented issue in pretty much any open source repo, I think is enough experience to speak about AI impact in society irrespective of the fact that someone finds it useful.
                                    The same is happening in most companies with much less visible impact at the moment. AI is an amplifier. Everyone that was slowly going in the wrong direction, now is going faster.

                                    imhotep@infosec.exchangeI This user is from outside of this forum
                                    imhotep@infosec.exchangeI This user is from outside of this forum
                                    imhotep@infosec.exchange
                                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                                    #262

                                    @olonam @kernic @Gargron @skavish Drowning the world in low quality tat not exactly a novel idea. The maleficarum chaos for a few hundred years after Guttenberg, KJV & Penny Press well documented and still causing chaos.

                                    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Penny_press

                                    It's getting faster, but it's been pretty fast since 1500 or so.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • condret@fedi.absturztau.beC This user is from outside of this forum
                                      condret@fedi.absturztau.beC This user is from outside of this forum
                                      condret@fedi.absturztau.be
                                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                                      #263
                                      @zipkid @Gargron while this is true, these things are also improving
                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • skavish@welley.socialS skavish@welley.social

                                        i agree with most of that. but ai isn’t going anywhere, so might as well use it. moral outrage won’t uninvent it.

                                        kir@mastodon.unoK This user is from outside of this forum
                                        kir@mastodon.unoK This user is from outside of this forum
                                        kir@mastodon.uno
                                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                                        #264

                                        @skavish "yeah, slavery is bad, but it's there. So might as well exploit some".

                                        Have some spine and take responsibility for what you believe, or else you're fuckin responsible. What a child.

                                        AI is a human thing, not a fucking necessity.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • gargron@mastodon.socialG gargron@mastodon.social

                                          "AI" is a failed technology, in the sense that it's neither fit for purpose, nor a likely path to its stated end goal of "AGI", but a lot of people's profits currently depend on pretending it's not. I am curious to see how long the hype will last once the Nvidia ouroboros ends and money stops being pumped into marketing.

                                          chemicaleyeguy@mstdn.scienceC This user is from outside of this forum
                                          chemicaleyeguy@mstdn.scienceC This user is from outside of this forum
                                          chemicaleyeguy@mstdn.science
                                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                                          #265

                                          @Gargron #AI is #clankers 🤖 all the way down, and that’s why wankers love 💕 it *so much!*

                                          #Resist #AIslop and #botshit.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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