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  3. Nikolai Kardashev was a Soviet radio astronomer and astrophysicist who wanted to know how one could even detect extraterrestrial civilizations at all, the “SETI problem”.

Nikolai Kardashev was a Soviet radio astronomer and astrophysicist who wanted to know how one could even detect extraterrestrial civilizations at all, the “SETI problem”.

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  • cstross@wandering.shopC cstross@wandering.shop

    @raymaccarthy @isotopp Kardashev's work was published in 1964, a time when our understanding of technological development *was* energy bounded rather than infomation bounded. A huge amount changed after roughly 1973-74!

    isotopp@infosec.exchangeI This user is from outside of this forum
    isotopp@infosec.exchangeI This user is from outside of this forum
    isotopp@infosec.exchange
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #9

    @cstross @raymaccarthy I know but the press amplifies Space Karen's nonsense with zero fact checking

    cstross@wandering.shopC 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • isotopp@infosec.exchangeI isotopp@infosec.exchange

      @cstross @raymaccarthy I know but the press amplifies Space Karen's nonsense with zero fact checking

      cstross@wandering.shopC This user is from outside of this forum
      cstross@wandering.shopC This user is from outside of this forum
      cstross@wandering.shop
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #10

      @isotopp @raymaccarthy The press these days are stenographers for corporate press releases, not actual journalists.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • kierkegaanks@beige.partyK kierkegaanks@beige.party

        @isotopp soundtrack: elvis costello - pump it up

        zakalwe@plasmatrap.comZ This user is from outside of this forum
        zakalwe@plasmatrap.comZ This user is from outside of this forum
        zakalwe@plasmatrap.com
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #11

        @Kierkegaanks@beige.party @isotopp@infosec.exchange See also Green Shirt

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • isotopp@infosec.exchangeI isotopp@infosec.exchange

          Nikolai Kardashev was a Soviet radio astronomer and astrophysicist who wanted to know how one could even detect extraterrestrial civilizations at all, the “SETI problem”.

          He concluded: by energy consumption. The Kardashev scale is therefore not an ISO standard (ISO = Interstellar Standards Organization?), but a thinking tool devised by one person.

          The scale says:

          • Type 1: Uses all the energy available to its planet. For example, an albedo-zero world completely covered in solar cells.
          • Type 2: Uses all the energy available to its star system. Not a million satellites in orbit, but a Dyson sphere that captures all the light and radiation of a star.
          • Type 3: Uses the energy of all stars in a galaxy.

          The idea of launching data centers into space, more precisely into LEO, must therefore be evaluated on a different scale:

          The Kardashian scale

          • A Type 1 civilization on the Kardashian scale has a public discourse that is no longer driven by facts, but by emotion and attention.
          • A Type 2 civilization no longer has this discourse under control, and counterfactual emotional discourse begins to control politics, research, and the economy, where unscientific and outright stupid narratives now take over steering.
          • A Type 3 civilization has complete epistemic decoupling: visibility has fully replaced truth, reach beats evidence, and consistency is irrelevant as long as the narrative is exciting. Physical limits are dismissed as “bad vibes”, and criticism is read as a moral flaw and subversion.

          So we are not measuring energy, but loss of contact with reality. Many tech visions of recent years (everything from and including Bitcoin onward) map directly onto this scale.

          We are now already a Kardashian Type 2 civilization.

          androcat@toot.catA This user is from outside of this forum
          androcat@toot.catA This user is from outside of this forum
          androcat@toot.cat
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #12

          @isotopp Might be of interest to @nyrath 🙂

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • isotopp@infosec.exchangeI isotopp@infosec.exchange

            Nikolai Kardashev was a Soviet radio astronomer and astrophysicist who wanted to know how one could even detect extraterrestrial civilizations at all, the “SETI problem”.

            He concluded: by energy consumption. The Kardashev scale is therefore not an ISO standard (ISO = Interstellar Standards Organization?), but a thinking tool devised by one person.

            The scale says:

            • Type 1: Uses all the energy available to its planet. For example, an albedo-zero world completely covered in solar cells.
            • Type 2: Uses all the energy available to its star system. Not a million satellites in orbit, but a Dyson sphere that captures all the light and radiation of a star.
            • Type 3: Uses the energy of all stars in a galaxy.

            The idea of launching data centers into space, more precisely into LEO, must therefore be evaluated on a different scale:

            The Kardashian scale

            • A Type 1 civilization on the Kardashian scale has a public discourse that is no longer driven by facts, but by emotion and attention.
            • A Type 2 civilization no longer has this discourse under control, and counterfactual emotional discourse begins to control politics, research, and the economy, where unscientific and outright stupid narratives now take over steering.
            • A Type 3 civilization has complete epistemic decoupling: visibility has fully replaced truth, reach beats evidence, and consistency is irrelevant as long as the narrative is exciting. Physical limits are dismissed as “bad vibes”, and criticism is read as a moral flaw and subversion.

            So we are not measuring energy, but loss of contact with reality. Many tech visions of recent years (everything from and including Bitcoin onward) map directly onto this scale.

            We are now already a Kardashian Type 2 civilization.

            jvluso@towns.gayJ This user is from outside of this forum
            jvluso@towns.gayJ This user is from outside of this forum
            jvluso@towns.gay
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #13

            @isotopp Right now the thing detaching us from reality is discourse, but I think the dark ages also got to Type 3 with Religion being the thing detaching them from reality.

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • isotopp@infosec.exchangeI isotopp@infosec.exchange

              Nikolai Kardashev was a Soviet radio astronomer and astrophysicist who wanted to know how one could even detect extraterrestrial civilizations at all, the “SETI problem”.

              He concluded: by energy consumption. The Kardashev scale is therefore not an ISO standard (ISO = Interstellar Standards Organization?), but a thinking tool devised by one person.

              The scale says:

              • Type 1: Uses all the energy available to its planet. For example, an albedo-zero world completely covered in solar cells.
              • Type 2: Uses all the energy available to its star system. Not a million satellites in orbit, but a Dyson sphere that captures all the light and radiation of a star.
              • Type 3: Uses the energy of all stars in a galaxy.

              The idea of launching data centers into space, more precisely into LEO, must therefore be evaluated on a different scale:

              The Kardashian scale

              • A Type 1 civilization on the Kardashian scale has a public discourse that is no longer driven by facts, but by emotion and attention.
              • A Type 2 civilization no longer has this discourse under control, and counterfactual emotional discourse begins to control politics, research, and the economy, where unscientific and outright stupid narratives now take over steering.
              • A Type 3 civilization has complete epistemic decoupling: visibility has fully replaced truth, reach beats evidence, and consistency is irrelevant as long as the narrative is exciting. Physical limits are dismissed as “bad vibes”, and criticism is read as a moral flaw and subversion.

              So we are not measuring energy, but loss of contact with reality. Many tech visions of recent years (everything from and including Bitcoin onward) map directly onto this scale.

              We are now already a Kardashian Type 2 civilization.

              daniel_wengelin@mastodon.nuD This user is from outside of this forum
              daniel_wengelin@mastodon.nuD This user is from outside of this forum
              daniel_wengelin@mastodon.nu
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #14

              @isotopp

              Nice dystopia! I admit - the first glance parsed the Kardashev name wrong....

              But how come a German has a Swedish elevator sign on the profile?

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • isotopp@infosec.exchangeI isotopp@infosec.exchange

                Nikolai Kardashev was a Soviet radio astronomer and astrophysicist who wanted to know how one could even detect extraterrestrial civilizations at all, the “SETI problem”.

                He concluded: by energy consumption. The Kardashev scale is therefore not an ISO standard (ISO = Interstellar Standards Organization?), but a thinking tool devised by one person.

                The scale says:

                • Type 1: Uses all the energy available to its planet. For example, an albedo-zero world completely covered in solar cells.
                • Type 2: Uses all the energy available to its star system. Not a million satellites in orbit, but a Dyson sphere that captures all the light and radiation of a star.
                • Type 3: Uses the energy of all stars in a galaxy.

                The idea of launching data centers into space, more precisely into LEO, must therefore be evaluated on a different scale:

                The Kardashian scale

                • A Type 1 civilization on the Kardashian scale has a public discourse that is no longer driven by facts, but by emotion and attention.
                • A Type 2 civilization no longer has this discourse under control, and counterfactual emotional discourse begins to control politics, research, and the economy, where unscientific and outright stupid narratives now take over steering.
                • A Type 3 civilization has complete epistemic decoupling: visibility has fully replaced truth, reach beats evidence, and consistency is irrelevant as long as the narrative is exciting. Physical limits are dismissed as “bad vibes”, and criticism is read as a moral flaw and subversion.

                So we are not measuring energy, but loss of contact with reality. Many tech visions of recent years (everything from and including Bitcoin onward) map directly onto this scale.

                We are now already a Kardashian Type 2 civilization.

                dex77@chaos.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                dex77@chaos.socialD This user is from outside of this forum
                dex77@chaos.social
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #15

                @isotopp
                "there are four lights!"

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • mithos@chaos.socialM mithos@chaos.social

                  @isotopp What's our score on the Kessler Scale and will we reach Type 1 soon? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler_syndrome

                  tezoatlipoca@mas.toT This user is from outside of this forum
                  tezoatlipoca@mas.toT This user is from outside of this forum
                  tezoatlipoca@mas.to
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #16

                  @mithos @isotopp Im trying to think if the whole globe is shrouded by satellite debris would that lower or raise our planetary albedo? i.e. are satellite pieces sparkly?

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • isotopp@infosec.exchangeI isotopp@infosec.exchange

                    Nikolai Kardashev was a Soviet radio astronomer and astrophysicist who wanted to know how one could even detect extraterrestrial civilizations at all, the “SETI problem”.

                    He concluded: by energy consumption. The Kardashev scale is therefore not an ISO standard (ISO = Interstellar Standards Organization?), but a thinking tool devised by one person.

                    The scale says:

                    • Type 1: Uses all the energy available to its planet. For example, an albedo-zero world completely covered in solar cells.
                    • Type 2: Uses all the energy available to its star system. Not a million satellites in orbit, but a Dyson sphere that captures all the light and radiation of a star.
                    • Type 3: Uses the energy of all stars in a galaxy.

                    The idea of launching data centers into space, more precisely into LEO, must therefore be evaluated on a different scale:

                    The Kardashian scale

                    • A Type 1 civilization on the Kardashian scale has a public discourse that is no longer driven by facts, but by emotion and attention.
                    • A Type 2 civilization no longer has this discourse under control, and counterfactual emotional discourse begins to control politics, research, and the economy, where unscientific and outright stupid narratives now take over steering.
                    • A Type 3 civilization has complete epistemic decoupling: visibility has fully replaced truth, reach beats evidence, and consistency is irrelevant as long as the narrative is exciting. Physical limits are dismissed as “bad vibes”, and criticism is read as a moral flaw and subversion.

                    So we are not measuring energy, but loss of contact with reality. Many tech visions of recent years (everything from and including Bitcoin onward) map directly onto this scale.

                    We are now already a Kardashian Type 2 civilization.

                    lazarou@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                    lazarou@mastodon.socialL This user is from outside of this forum
                    lazarou@mastodon.social
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #17

                    @isotopp I wonder if 'Type 3' is the Great Filter that has Scientists worried?

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • isotopp@infosec.exchangeI isotopp@infosec.exchange

                      Nikolai Kardashev was a Soviet radio astronomer and astrophysicist who wanted to know how one could even detect extraterrestrial civilizations at all, the “SETI problem”.

                      He concluded: by energy consumption. The Kardashev scale is therefore not an ISO standard (ISO = Interstellar Standards Organization?), but a thinking tool devised by one person.

                      The scale says:

                      • Type 1: Uses all the energy available to its planet. For example, an albedo-zero world completely covered in solar cells.
                      • Type 2: Uses all the energy available to its star system. Not a million satellites in orbit, but a Dyson sphere that captures all the light and radiation of a star.
                      • Type 3: Uses the energy of all stars in a galaxy.

                      The idea of launching data centers into space, more precisely into LEO, must therefore be evaluated on a different scale:

                      The Kardashian scale

                      • A Type 1 civilization on the Kardashian scale has a public discourse that is no longer driven by facts, but by emotion and attention.
                      • A Type 2 civilization no longer has this discourse under control, and counterfactual emotional discourse begins to control politics, research, and the economy, where unscientific and outright stupid narratives now take over steering.
                      • A Type 3 civilization has complete epistemic decoupling: visibility has fully replaced truth, reach beats evidence, and consistency is irrelevant as long as the narrative is exciting. Physical limits are dismissed as “bad vibes”, and criticism is read as a moral flaw and subversion.

                      So we are not measuring energy, but loss of contact with reality. Many tech visions of recent years (everything from and including Bitcoin onward) map directly onto this scale.

                      We are now already a Kardashian Type 2 civilization.

                      prw@mastodon.sdf.orgP This user is from outside of this forum
                      prw@mastodon.sdf.orgP This user is from outside of this forum
                      prw@mastodon.sdf.org
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #18

                      @isotopp Kardashian typology needs moar butts

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • isotopp@infosec.exchangeI isotopp@infosec.exchange

                        Nikolai Kardashev was a Soviet radio astronomer and astrophysicist who wanted to know how one could even detect extraterrestrial civilizations at all, the “SETI problem”.

                        He concluded: by energy consumption. The Kardashev scale is therefore not an ISO standard (ISO = Interstellar Standards Organization?), but a thinking tool devised by one person.

                        The scale says:

                        • Type 1: Uses all the energy available to its planet. For example, an albedo-zero world completely covered in solar cells.
                        • Type 2: Uses all the energy available to its star system. Not a million satellites in orbit, but a Dyson sphere that captures all the light and radiation of a star.
                        • Type 3: Uses the energy of all stars in a galaxy.

                        The idea of launching data centers into space, more precisely into LEO, must therefore be evaluated on a different scale:

                        The Kardashian scale

                        • A Type 1 civilization on the Kardashian scale has a public discourse that is no longer driven by facts, but by emotion and attention.
                        • A Type 2 civilization no longer has this discourse under control, and counterfactual emotional discourse begins to control politics, research, and the economy, where unscientific and outright stupid narratives now take over steering.
                        • A Type 3 civilization has complete epistemic decoupling: visibility has fully replaced truth, reach beats evidence, and consistency is irrelevant as long as the narrative is exciting. Physical limits are dismissed as “bad vibes”, and criticism is read as a moral flaw and subversion.

                        So we are not measuring energy, but loss of contact with reality. Many tech visions of recent years (everything from and including Bitcoin onward) map directly onto this scale.

                        We are now already a Kardashian Type 2 civilization.

                        nyrath@spacey.spaceN This user is from outside of this forum
                        nyrath@spacey.spaceN This user is from outside of this forum
                        nyrath@spacey.space
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #19

                        @isotopp

                        In 1973 Carl Sagan estimated that humanity is currently around Type 0.7. He derived the following formula by interpolation:

                        K = (log10[P] - 6) / 10

                        P = antilog10[(K * 10) + 6]

                        where:

                        K: Kardashev Rating
                        P: Power harnessed by civilization (watts)
                        log10[x] : Common logarithm of x
                        antilog10[x] : Common antilogarithm of x

                        nyrath@spacey.spaceN 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • isotopp@infosec.exchangeI isotopp@infosec.exchange

                          Nikolai Kardashev was a Soviet radio astronomer and astrophysicist who wanted to know how one could even detect extraterrestrial civilizations at all, the “SETI problem”.

                          He concluded: by energy consumption. The Kardashev scale is therefore not an ISO standard (ISO = Interstellar Standards Organization?), but a thinking tool devised by one person.

                          The scale says:

                          • Type 1: Uses all the energy available to its planet. For example, an albedo-zero world completely covered in solar cells.
                          • Type 2: Uses all the energy available to its star system. Not a million satellites in orbit, but a Dyson sphere that captures all the light and radiation of a star.
                          • Type 3: Uses the energy of all stars in a galaxy.

                          The idea of launching data centers into space, more precisely into LEO, must therefore be evaluated on a different scale:

                          The Kardashian scale

                          • A Type 1 civilization on the Kardashian scale has a public discourse that is no longer driven by facts, but by emotion and attention.
                          • A Type 2 civilization no longer has this discourse under control, and counterfactual emotional discourse begins to control politics, research, and the economy, where unscientific and outright stupid narratives now take over steering.
                          • A Type 3 civilization has complete epistemic decoupling: visibility has fully replaced truth, reach beats evidence, and consistency is irrelevant as long as the narrative is exciting. Physical limits are dismissed as “bad vibes”, and criticism is read as a moral flaw and subversion.

                          So we are not measuring energy, but loss of contact with reality. Many tech visions of recent years (everything from and including Bitcoin onward) map directly onto this scale.

                          We are now already a Kardashian Type 2 civilization.

                          gregegansf@mathstodon.xyzG This user is from outside of this forum
                          gregegansf@mathstodon.xyzG This user is from outside of this forum
                          gregegansf@mathstodon.xyz
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #20

                          @isotopp

                          “America is now what anthropologists call a Kardashian Type Three civilisation: more than fifty percent of GDP is in the attention economy.”

                          https://www.gregegan.net/MISC/RUINS/Ruins.html

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • nyrath@spacey.spaceN nyrath@spacey.space

                            @isotopp

                            In 1973 Carl Sagan estimated that humanity is currently around Type 0.7. He derived the following formula by interpolation:

                            K = (log10[P] - 6) / 10

                            P = antilog10[(K * 10) + 6]

                            where:

                            K: Kardashev Rating
                            P: Power harnessed by civilization (watts)
                            log10[x] : Common logarithm of x
                            antilog10[x] : Common antilogarithm of x

                            nyrath@spacey.spaceN This user is from outside of this forum
                            nyrath@spacey.spaceN This user is from outside of this forum
                            nyrath@spacey.space
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #21

                            @isotopp

                            Kardashev Scale
                            -0.48 A civilization that is able to harness the power of one manual laborer. ~17W
                            0 harness the power of 60,000 manual laborers. ~10^6W
                            1 harness all of the power available on a single planet. ~10^16
                            2 harness all of the power available from a single star. ~10^26
                            3 harness all of the power available from a single galaxy. ~10^36
                            4 harness all of the power available in the entire universe. ~10^46

                            60srefugee@spacey.space6 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • nyrath@spacey.spaceN nyrath@spacey.space

                              @isotopp

                              Kardashev Scale
                              -0.48 A civilization that is able to harness the power of one manual laborer. ~17W
                              0 harness the power of 60,000 manual laborers. ~10^6W
                              1 harness all of the power available on a single planet. ~10^16
                              2 harness all of the power available from a single star. ~10^26
                              3 harness all of the power available from a single galaxy. ~10^36
                              4 harness all of the power available in the entire universe. ~10^46

                              60srefugee@spacey.space6 This user is from outside of this forum
                              60srefugee@spacey.space6 This user is from outside of this forum
                              60srefugee@spacey.space
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #22

                              @nyrath @isotopp I keep thinking that they really need to image ring galaxies in the deep infrared to make sure that those "empty" centers aren't really where all the energy is being radiated at waste-heat frequencies instead of visible light.

                              1 Reply Last reply
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                              • jwcph@helvede.netJ jwcph@helvede.net shared this topic
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