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  3. New study: most climate models underestimate the decline of the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC.

New study: most climate models underestimate the decline of the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC.

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  • rahmstorf@fediscience.orgR This user is from outside of this forum
    rahmstorf@fediscience.orgR This user is from outside of this forum
    rahmstorf@fediscience.org
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #1

    New study: most climate models underestimate the decline of the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC. The AMOC is on course to slow by more than 50% by the end of the century. 🌊
    Very likely the AMOC will then be past the tipping point for full shutdown. 😨
    https://us.cnn.com/2026/04/16/climate/atlantic-ocean-circulation-collapse-update

    ginevracat@toot.communityG amorpheus@kind.socialA H norbert2026@mastodontech.deN 4 Replies Last reply
    2
    0
    • bettina@mastodon.nuB bettina@mastodon.nu shared this topic
    • rahmstorf@fediscience.orgR rahmstorf@fediscience.org

      New study: most climate models underestimate the decline of the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC. The AMOC is on course to slow by more than 50% by the end of the century. 🌊
      Very likely the AMOC will then be past the tipping point for full shutdown. 😨
      https://us.cnn.com/2026/04/16/climate/atlantic-ocean-circulation-collapse-update

      ginevracat@toot.communityG This user is from outside of this forum
      ginevracat@toot.communityG This user is from outside of this forum
      ginevracat@toot.community
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #2

      @rahmstorf @RhinosWorryMe How are we not all running around screaming and pulling our hair out???

      This is very, very bad.

      rhinosworryme@climatejustice.socialR 1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • ginevracat@toot.communityG ginevracat@toot.community

        @rahmstorf @RhinosWorryMe How are we not all running around screaming and pulling our hair out???

        This is very, very bad.

        rhinosworryme@climatejustice.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
        rhinosworryme@climatejustice.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
        rhinosworryme@climatejustice.social
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #3

        @GinevraCat @rahmstorf

        I do a fair amount of that!

        I think most people are living lives of quiet desperation. It's too big and too distant, and they're constantly told they can't make a difference, so ... why worry?

        ginevracat@toot.communityG 2 Replies Last reply
        0
        • rhinosworryme@climatejustice.socialR rhinosworryme@climatejustice.social

          @GinevraCat @rahmstorf

          I do a fair amount of that!

          I think most people are living lives of quiet desperation. It's too big and too distant, and they're constantly told they can't make a difference, so ... why worry?

          ginevracat@toot.communityG This user is from outside of this forum
          ginevracat@toot.communityG This user is from outside of this forum
          ginevracat@toot.community
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #4

          @RhinosWorryMe @rahmstorf 😔😔😔😔 There's always a way to help, or at least to minimize one's own contribution to the problem.

          I think a lot of people simply don't think about it at all.

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • rhinosworryme@climatejustice.socialR rhinosworryme@climatejustice.social

            @GinevraCat @rahmstorf

            I do a fair amount of that!

            I think most people are living lives of quiet desperation. It's too big and too distant, and they're constantly told they can't make a difference, so ... why worry?

            ginevracat@toot.communityG This user is from outside of this forum
            ginevracat@toot.communityG This user is from outside of this forum
            ginevracat@toot.community
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #5

            @RhinosWorryMe Also, 🫂

            rhinosworryme@climatejustice.socialR 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • ginevracat@toot.communityG ginevracat@toot.community

              @RhinosWorryMe Also, 🫂

              rhinosworryme@climatejustice.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
              rhinosworryme@climatejustice.socialR This user is from outside of this forum
              rhinosworryme@climatejustice.social
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #6

              @GinevraCat

              Thanks, you too!

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • rahmstorf@fediscience.orgR rahmstorf@fediscience.org

                New study: most climate models underestimate the decline of the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC. The AMOC is on course to slow by more than 50% by the end of the century. 🌊
                Very likely the AMOC will then be past the tipping point for full shutdown. 😨
                https://us.cnn.com/2026/04/16/climate/atlantic-ocean-circulation-collapse-update

                amorpheus@kind.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                amorpheus@kind.socialA This user is from outside of this forum
                amorpheus@kind.social
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #7

                @rahmstorf This probably will be one of those crucial turning points. Without heat dispersion, Europe, for example, will face arctic temperatures, rendering EVs and air-air heat pumps powered by solar cells much less efficient, if not even ending up in total failure. Freezing water on overhead powerlines will inhibit energy distribution to a certain degree, as observed in Canada during high jet stream amplitudes.

                We might really lack the imagination on what we are facing here.

                H 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • rahmstorf@fediscience.orgR rahmstorf@fediscience.org

                  New study: most climate models underestimate the decline of the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC. The AMOC is on course to slow by more than 50% by the end of the century. 🌊
                  Very likely the AMOC will then be past the tipping point for full shutdown. 😨
                  https://us.cnn.com/2026/04/16/climate/atlantic-ocean-circulation-collapse-update

                  H This user is from outside of this forum
                  H This user is from outside of this forum
                  hannes99@mastodon.social
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #8

                  @rahmstorf bitte englische Tröts auch auf Englisch stellen, dann funktioniert auch die automatische Übersetzung von Mastodon 🙏🙂

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • amorpheus@kind.socialA amorpheus@kind.social

                    @rahmstorf This probably will be one of those crucial turning points. Without heat dispersion, Europe, for example, will face arctic temperatures, rendering EVs and air-air heat pumps powered by solar cells much less efficient, if not even ending up in total failure. Freezing water on overhead powerlines will inhibit energy distribution to a certain degree, as observed in Canada during high jet stream amplitudes.

                    We might really lack the imagination on what we are facing here.

                    H This user is from outside of this forum
                    H This user is from outside of this forum
                    hannes99@mastodon.social
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #9

                    @Amorpheus plus, buildings have been constructed with only certain wind and snow loads in mind, following the building code and local load maps. Some of them will collapse.

                    @rahmstorf

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • rahmstorf@fediscience.orgR rahmstorf@fediscience.org

                      New study: most climate models underestimate the decline of the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC. The AMOC is on course to slow by more than 50% by the end of the century. 🌊
                      Very likely the AMOC will then be past the tipping point for full shutdown. 😨
                      https://us.cnn.com/2026/04/16/climate/atlantic-ocean-circulation-collapse-update

                      norbert2026@mastodontech.deN This user is from outside of this forum
                      norbert2026@mastodontech.deN This user is from outside of this forum
                      norbert2026@mastodontech.de
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #10

                      @rahmstorf

                      The real issue isn’t whether it gets colder or more unstable.
                      The real issue is that we lose our most important foundation: predictability.

                      If the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation becomes unstable, climate models lose reliability. And without reliable models, there is no solid basis for agriculture, infrastructure, or long-term planning.

                      This isn’t about temperature. It’s about the loss of predictability.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • tokeriis@helvede.netT tokeriis@helvede.net shared this topic
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