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  3. The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

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  • wronglang@bayes.clubW wronglang@bayes.club

    @inthehands emphasis on the through face stabbing

    inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
    inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
    inthehands@hachyderm.io
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #21

    @wronglang
    But see they juggled the knives first!

    They •juggled• them, Krzysztof

    wronglang@bayes.clubW 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

      I don’t know, perhaps I read too hastily and am misrepresenting what these people did. But at this point the nonsense is so severe I can believe it without even doing a double take

      wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
      wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
      wronglang@bayes.club
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #22

      @inthehands they were never looking for a survey methodology, they were looking for a beard!

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

        @wronglang
        But see they juggled the knives first!

        They •juggled• them, Krzysztof

        wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
        wronglang@bayes.clubW This user is from outside of this forum
        wronglang@bayes.club
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #23

        @inthehands that was so you couldn't tell if they were stabbing their own face or yours

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

          RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

          The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

          “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

          My dudes. No.

          ai6yr@m.ai6yr.orgA This user is from outside of this forum
          ai6yr@m.ai6yr.orgA This user is from outside of this forum
          ai6yr@m.ai6yr.org
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #24

          @inthehands FFS

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

            RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

            The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

            “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

            My dudes. No.

            mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
            mastodonmigration@mastodon.onlineM This user is from outside of this forum
            mastodonmigration@mastodon.online
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #25

            @inthehands

            Next it will be asking LLMs what voters would choose and just going with that. No need for elections.

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

              RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

              The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

              “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

              My dudes. No.

              chancerubbage@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
              chancerubbage@mastodon.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
              chancerubbage@mastodon.social
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #26

              @inthehands @mastodonmigration @Futurism

              I think polls should all include the question:

              Did you find any of these questions leading?

              And be required to publish that result next to any results along with those that commissioned, paid for, the poll.

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

                drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
                drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
                drwho@masto.hackers.town
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #27

                @inthehands Can I quote you on that?

                inthehands@hachyderm.ioI 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • drwho@masto.hackers.townD drwho@masto.hackers.town

                  @inthehands Can I quote you on that?

                  inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                  inthehands@hachyderm.ioI This user is from outside of this forum
                  inthehands@hachyderm.io
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #28

                  @drwho
                  Any time

                  drwho@masto.hackers.townD 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                    @drwho
                    Any time

                    drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
                    drwho@masto.hackers.townD This user is from outside of this forum
                    drwho@masto.hackers.town
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #29

                    @inthehands Thank you kindly.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                      RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                      The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                      “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                      My dudes. No.

                      jbayes@sfba.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      jbayes@sfba.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      jbayes@sfba.social
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #30

                      @inthehands This is just a fancy new way of making shit up.

                      Publishing fabricated polls as if they were legit, is called "fraud".

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                        OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

                        Statistical Jesus wept.

                        nosword@localization.cafeN This user is from outside of this forum
                        nosword@localization.cafeN This user is from outside of this forum
                        nosword@localization.cafe
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #31

                        @inthehands And not just statistics! I’ve also seen certain linguists and philosophers excited about the possibility of posing grammatical/ethical judgments to LLMs in bulk, apparently fully convinced that the results would hold any meaning or value whatsoever. Can’t wait for the smug “Trolley problem objectively solved” papers

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                          OK, I looked at it in slightly more detail, and yes, my OP is basically a correct summary of what they’re doing.

                          Statistical Jesus wept.

                          jwz@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                          jwz@mastodon.socialJ This user is from outside of this forum
                          jwz@mastodon.social
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #32

                          @inthehands 97.5% of Jesuses wept, +/- 2%.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                            Say what you will about predicting the future from animal entrails, but at least that can give you dinner

                            sibylle@troet.cafeS This user is from outside of this forum
                            sibylle@troet.cafeS This user is from outside of this forum
                            sibylle@troet.cafe
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #33

                            @inthehands I prefer not to dissect animals to do my personal share of fortune telling.
                            Observing the flight of birds does not harm the environment and the analysis of it has the accuracy and potential of what is stored in my subconcius and my own filter of values.

                            And I'm serious. I whatch birds fly and ask myself, what does it tell me.

                            And at no point I doubt that this is less accurate than asking an llm.

                            I have to decide things anyways somehow to do what seems right to me.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                              (The underlying logic here is that LLMs embed biases, so you take advantage of that fact by prompting an LLM to take on a spectrum of different demographic biases that correspond to population demographics, then ask the LLM a polling question in the context of each of those demographically weighted biases.

                              So yeah, from my OP it might sound like they’re replacing polling with stabbing themselves in the face, but •actually• they’re juggling a bunch of knives and •then• stabbing themselves in the face.)

                              cinebox@masto.hackers.townC This user is from outside of this forum
                              cinebox@masto.hackers.townC This user is from outside of this forum
                              cinebox@masto.hackers.town
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #34

                              @inthehands there is no logic here. These people are just cultists.

                              from the Aaru about page: “Some of us are existentialists. Some of us believe we live in a simulation and it is our goal to prove it. All of us see our products as puzzle pieces to building whole world simulation.”

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • gnate@ohai.socialG gnate@ohai.social

                                @rjblaskiewicz @inthehands
                                It's just offal.

                                msbellows@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                                msbellows@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                                msbellows@c.im
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #35

                                @gnate @rjblaskiewicz @inthehands Entrail-based fortunetelling gets more complicated if the chicken ate tea leaves before it died.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                  RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                                  The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                                  “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                                  My dudes. No.

                                  npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                                  npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                                  npars01@mstdn.social
                                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                                  #36

                                  @inthehands

                                  It took Koch Network decades to achieve "corporate personhood" with Citizens United.

                                  https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/02/if-corporations-are-people-they-should-act-like-it/385034/

                                  https://inthesetimes.com/article/on-the-road-against-citizens-united

                                  https://www.npr.org/2014/07/28/335288388/when-did-companies-become-people-excavating-the-legal-evolution

                                  Corporations can outvote real people.

                                  What happens when "AI personhood" is achieved & also outvotes real people?

                                  https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/sep/30/artificial-intelligence-personhood

                                  https://daveshap.substack.com/p/taking-the-ai-personhood-debate-seriously

                                  What happens when fake AI voters are purchased in bulk by Putin?
                                  https://medium.com/intuitionmachine/the-dangers-of-artificial-intelligence-is-unavoidable-due-to-flaws-of-human-civilization-f9c131e65e5e

                                  What happens when women, Immigrants, POC, & LGBTQ become non-people?

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                    (The underlying logic here is that LLMs embed biases, so you take advantage of that fact by prompting an LLM to take on a spectrum of different demographic biases that correspond to population demographics, then ask the LLM a polling question in the context of each of those demographically weighted biases.

                                    So yeah, from my OP it might sound like they’re replacing polling with stabbing themselves in the face, but •actually• they’re juggling a bunch of knives and •then• stabbing themselves in the face.)

                                    crystalvisits@mas.wrong.toolsC This user is from outside of this forum
                                    crystalvisits@mas.wrong.toolsC This user is from outside of this forum
                                    crystalvisits@mas.wrong.tools
                                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                                    #37

                                    THANK you. @inthehands I have been arguing with a classmate for weeks about them using "synthetic" data for transportation class. Ugh. I know I get a little incoherent with anger about AI stuff, but I do not think we should be doing statistical analysis of made-up data. We can have actual data, if we just do a little work to get it. UGH.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                      RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                                      The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                                      “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                                      My dudes. No.

                                      O This user is from outside of this forum
                                      O This user is from outside of this forum
                                      ocktoboy14@mastodon.social
                                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                                      #38

                                      @inthehands fair point, this is likely a case of AI slop (and questionable marketing)!

                                      But "obviously a terrible alternative"? As far as I'm concerned it sounds like a pretty reasonable thing to try.

                                      And, It might even work quite well, but only for an LLM trained without RLHF, instruction tuning, and big tech putting their hands on it. The bias there would be from the data distribution (same problem they have in the old method, "who picks up the phone?")

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • inthehands@hachyderm.ioI inthehands@hachyderm.io

                                        RE: https://flipboard.com/@futurism/futurism-1lupih3cz/-/a-hWRkyR9zQFuooBpWKGziAw%3Aa%3A1737388686-%2F0

                                        The remarks from the expert in this article, even as critical as they are, grossly understate just how foolish and messed up this is.

                                        “We didn’t conduct a poll, we just asked GPT or whatever to make up things people would say and then sampled that”

                                        My dudes. No.

                                        antygon@mastodon.com.plA This user is from outside of this forum
                                        antygon@mastodon.com.plA This user is from outside of this forum
                                        antygon@mastodon.com.pl
                                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                                        #39

                                        @inthehands @bfaliszek Dear god. They are no poolsters, they are part of „tech bros”. I have recently listened to podcast where real poolster debunked this and all prediction markets. In both cases level of confidence is galaxy apart from good statistics.
                                        So yeah, another LLM bullshit.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • pelle@veganism.socialP pelle@veganism.social shared this topic
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