Oh great strikes on Iran are under way.
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So I've been digging through the OSINT on the brewing US conflict on Iran for basically the last month and another aspect I've been keenly watching is the sale of Chinese made anti-ship missiles to Iran.
Having high quality missiles used to be unique to the US, but now EVERYONE has missiles.
And the problem is that missiles are a massive existential threat to US carrier groups.
So you gotta ask yourself...
If Iran (alone) can do THIS to a key strategic US Navy installation within ONE hour of US aggression. A base with world class air defense.... what fucking chance in hell do aircraft carriers have to stay in this fight for the long haul?
So lets all listen carefully to how the US media spins this, because if Iran can keep this up the US is gonna have a couple fewer military installations in short order.
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So you gotta ask yourself...
If Iran (alone) can do THIS to a key strategic US Navy installation within ONE hour of US aggression. A base with world class air defense.... what fucking chance in hell do aircraft carriers have to stay in this fight for the long haul?
So lets all listen carefully to how the US media spins this, because if Iran can keep this up the US is gonna have a couple fewer military installations in short order.
Now of course ballistic and hypersonic missiles aren't everything, Iran's strategy still contains a TON of small missile attack boats designed to swarm US carriers.
The small boats have a mix of cheap multi-launch missile systems as well as high end anti-ship guided missiles(some can go 1000km!!).
They ALSO include anti-aircraft missiles so the can lay in wiat to interdict US aircraft on their way to Iran.
They have thousands of these water craft.
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Now of course ballistic and hypersonic missiles aren't everything, Iran's strategy still contains a TON of small missile attack boats designed to swarm US carriers.
The small boats have a mix of cheap multi-launch missile systems as well as high end anti-ship guided missiles(some can go 1000km!!).
They ALSO include anti-aircraft missiles so the can lay in wiat to interdict US aircraft on their way to Iran.
They have thousands of these water craft.
According to online reports, mariners transiting the Strait of Hormuz claim there have been radio announcements from the Iranian coast guard that they will begin closing the straight.
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According to online reports, mariners transiting the Strait of Hormuz claim there have been radio announcements from the Iranian coast guard that they will begin closing the straight.
Iran has fired missiles towards several countries who host American military bases.
They generals state that they are currently using their oldest missiles for the initial response strikes and that their campaign will intensify and increase in quality as they begin pulling out their new technology.
This map is already a bit out of date I believe. From videos online it seems Israel's Haifa & Tel Aviv likely suffered direct strikes.
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Iran has fired missiles towards several countries who host American military bases.
They generals state that they are currently using their oldest missiles for the initial response strikes and that their campaign will intensify and increase in quality as they begin pulling out their new technology.
This map is already a bit out of date I believe. From videos online it seems Israel's Haifa & Tel Aviv likely suffered direct strikes.
An aspect that the map above either was out of date for or willfully doesn't count is the reality that missile interceptors FREQUENTLY fail and will fall & deteonate on the civilians they were supposedly deployed to protect.
In Qatar an interceptor failed and didn't self destruct either. Civilians were forced to run for their lives.
The US media almost NEVER reports on this aspect of missile defense systems.
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An aspect that the map above either was out of date for or willfully doesn't count is the reality that missile interceptors FREQUENTLY fail and will fall & deteonate on the civilians they were supposedly deployed to protect.
In Qatar an interceptor failed and didn't self destruct either. Civilians were forced to run for their lives.
The US media almost NEVER reports on this aspect of missile defense systems.
War harms civilians. Iran's response included strikes on targets clearly of strategic value but that will be condemned due to the presence of civilians.
One example is that Dubia's hotel district appears to have been hit be an Iranian drone.
Several angles show the drone striking near the Burj Khalifa(one such video below).
Other videos show damage to Kuwait Airport.
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War harms civilians. Iran's response included strikes on targets clearly of strategic value but that will be condemned due to the presence of civilians.
One example is that Dubia's hotel district appears to have been hit be an Iranian drone.
Several angles show the drone striking near the Burj Khalifa(one such video below).
Other videos show damage to Kuwait Airport.
I think these strikes were designed to economically cripple anyone whose supporting or enabling the US and Israel.
It's also not just some tragedy. Its a DIRECT message to stop targetting the civilian leadership of the Iranian government.
The US KNEW targeting the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian would mean a "total war" response.
So Iran is willing to strike Dubai. A target valued by the world's top capitalist.
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I think these strikes were designed to economically cripple anyone whose supporting or enabling the US and Israel.
It's also not just some tragedy. Its a DIRECT message to stop targetting the civilian leadership of the Iranian government.
The US KNEW targeting the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian would mean a "total war" response.
So Iran is willing to strike Dubai. A target valued by the world's top capitalist.
Trump literally just tried to KILL the civilian leadership of a foreign nation with NO congressional approval at all!
For the US, by its own rules, this entire operation was illegal from this first missile fired.
So while I call it like I see it, "Iran hit civilians", its hard as fuck to think that justifies ANYTHING America and Israel is doing right now.
I think the US and Israel should leave Iran the fuck alone and stop fucking around.
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Trump literally just tried to KILL the civilian leadership of a foreign nation with NO congressional approval at all!
For the US, by its own rules, this entire operation was illegal from this first missile fired.
So while I call it like I see it, "Iran hit civilians", its hard as fuck to think that justifies ANYTHING America and Israel is doing right now.
I think the US and Israel should leave Iran the fuck alone and stop fucking around.
So I pray that the US military has the exact same take as this sailor whose video is going viral this morning.
"Oh fuck we gotta get outta here"
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So I pray that the US military has the exact same take as this sailor whose video is going viral this morning.
"Oh fuck we gotta get outta here"
So its now night time in Bahrain and the Iranian drones are NOT letting up.
It's going to take time to review these more carefully.
A thing to know about the US Navy in Bahrain is that they don't have on base housing.
This means basically the most hated military target in one of the most critical locations disperses it's military force among the civilian populace ON purpose to make them hard to target without harming civilians.
I suspect we're seeing Iran taking that gamble.
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So its now night time in Bahrain and the Iranian drones are NOT letting up.
It's going to take time to review these more carefully.
A thing to know about the US Navy in Bahrain is that they don't have on base housing.
This means basically the most hated military target in one of the most critical locations disperses it's military force among the civilian populace ON purpose to make them hard to target without harming civilians.
I suspect we're seeing Iran taking that gamble.
The Iranian missile strikes are ALSO unrelenting in Bahrain tonight.
They have continued to hit the US military base with missiles.
There's growing chatter of a full blown US air defense failure in multiple countries right now. Again, going to take time to understand as an OSINT nerd but this seems like US AD is overwhelmed.
They may still be making a lot of intercepts when you understand the volume of fire coming from Iran ...
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The Iranian missile strikes are ALSO unrelenting in Bahrain tonight.
They have continued to hit the US military base with missiles.
There's growing chatter of a full blown US air defense failure in multiple countries right now. Again, going to take time to understand as an OSINT nerd but this seems like US AD is overwhelmed.
They may still be making a lot of intercepts when you understand the volume of fire coming from Iran ...
And that's the rub.
If this is an air war, the US is "supposed" to dominate.
Earlier in the day US missiles were seen pounding Iran's mountain missile bases and various storage facilities.
The fact Iran's making strikes tonight means there's NO meaningful impact to Iran's offensive capabilities.
Again, it's likely some AD is still working in and near Bahrain and we're only seeing the 10% or whatever rate of missiles and drones that make it through.
Iran's still operating as normal I think
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And that's the rub.
If this is an air war, the US is "supposed" to dominate.
Earlier in the day US missiles were seen pounding Iran's mountain missile bases and various storage facilities.
The fact Iran's making strikes tonight means there's NO meaningful impact to Iran's offensive capabilities.
Again, it's likely some AD is still working in and near Bahrain and we're only seeing the 10% or whatever rate of missiles and drones that make it through.
Iran's still operating as normal I think
Qatar is also suffering notable air defense failures.
This video is VERY interesting. In it we see an Iranian ballistical missile just plain out maneuvering TWO missile intercepters and scoring a direct hit on a US base. Likely further degrading their air defense capabilities.
That last interceptor in-particular was just late as fuck. This looked like a severe speed over-match or something.
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Qatar is also suffering notable air defense failures.
This video is VERY interesting. In it we see an Iranian ballistical missile just plain out maneuvering TWO missile intercepters and scoring a direct hit on a US base. Likely further degrading their air defense capabilities.
That last interceptor in-particular was just late as fuck. This looked like a severe speed over-match or something.
Iran is UNRELENTING tonight.
What's that buzz?
Oh just ANOTHER $30k Iranian drone striking the US Navy HQ in Bahrain unopposed.
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Iran is UNRELENTING tonight.
What's that buzz?
Oh just ANOTHER $30k Iranian drone striking the US Navy HQ in Bahrain unopposed.
I see my Black friends waking up to the Iran news rn.
Pretty much universal take at the moment.
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I see my Black friends waking up to the Iran news rn.
Pretty much universal take at the moment.
On a social level... I can't help but notice the videos filmed by english speaking westerners are clearly upset seeing US bases hit. They're running and crying for cover.
Meanwhile, I don't speak Arabic or Persian(maybe someone can help us out), but I can't help but notice the Bahrain videos posted by non-english speakers are far more calm, not taking cover, don't seem frantic.
I could be mistaken but they kinda seem to be cheering in some. Kinda feel like not everybody's sad about this.
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On a social level... I can't help but notice the videos filmed by english speaking westerners are clearly upset seeing US bases hit. They're running and crying for cover.
Meanwhile, I don't speak Arabic or Persian(maybe someone can help us out), but I can't help but notice the Bahrain videos posted by non-english speakers are far more calm, not taking cover, don't seem frantic.
I could be mistaken but they kinda seem to be cheering in some. Kinda feel like not everybody's sad about this.
Nah, I'm not imagining it lmao.
The Bahrain locals are cheering everytime the US base is hit tonight.
And from the absolute torrent of strikes I'm seeing tonight I think they all gonna loose their voices tonight
US looking cooked in Bahrain.
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Nah, I'm not imagining it lmao.
The Bahrain locals are cheering everytime the US base is hit tonight.
And from the absolute torrent of strikes I'm seeing tonight I think they all gonna loose their voices tonight
US looking cooked in Bahrain.
Iran's strikes in the last 12 hours targeted at least:
#Bahrain
• Al-Juffair Base
• U.S. Fifth Fleet Command Center
#Qatar
• Al-Udeid Air Base
United Arab Emirates #UAE
• Al-Dhafra Air Base
• Jebel Ali Port
• Fujairah Air Base
#SaudiArabia:
• Prince Sultan Air Base in Riyadh
• Tabuk Base
• Khamis Mushait Base
• A western base in Jeddah
#Jordan:
• Muwaffaq Salti Air Base
#Iraq:
• U.S. base in Erbil
#Kuwait:
• Arifjan Camp
• Ahmad Al-Jaber Air Base
• Mubarak Air Base -
Iran's strikes in the last 12 hours targeted at least:
#Bahrain
• Al-Juffair Base
• U.S. Fifth Fleet Command Center#Qatar
• Al-Udeid Air BaseUnited Arab Emirates #UAE
• Al-Dhafra Air Base
• Jebel Ali Port
• Fujairah Air Base#SaudiArabia:
• Prince Sultan Air Base in Riyadh
• Tabuk Base
• Khamis Mushait Base
• A western base in Jeddah#Jordan:
• Muwaffaq Salti Air Base#Iraq:
• U.S. base in Erbil#Kuwait:
• Arifjan Camp
• Ahmad Al-Jaber Air Base
• Mubarak Air BaseA second angle filmed by US troops has emerged showing the strike on the base in Qatar which houses CENTCOM.
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A second angle filmed by US troops has emerged showing the strike on the base in Qatar which houses CENTCOM.
#Bahrain continues to have reports of drone strikes. There's currently so many angles of missiles and drones mid-flight that I'm struggling to de-duplicate them to determine which are verifiable new strikes.
Some of the first locations hit in Bahrain could be seen burning through the night with little to no fire first responders active due to the continued risk of follow on strikes.
The locals laugh about that apartment building burning down. Looks like a total loss.
