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  3. What We Misunderstand About Pre-Industrial Craftsmanship by Vic Tesolin

What We Misunderstand About Pre-Industrial Craftsmanship by Vic Tesolin

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  • npars01@mstdn.socialN npars01@mstdn.social

    @impactology @meltedcheese

    AI has found a few niches.

    1. Stock market manipulation

    "Markets are full of predatory trading algorithms. They’ve evolved to hunt in packs." William Gibson

    2. Election meddling
    3. Automated disinformation
    4. Union busting
    5. Malign influence campaigns
    6. Jailbreaking IP
    7. Surveillance capitalism
    8. Price fixing & rent fixing
    9. Monopolization

    meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
    meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
    meltedcheese@c.im
    wrote sidst redigeret af
    #17

    @Npars01 @impactology Automated trading on various markets makes use of AI. I learned a bit about this when I had consulted for a major investment house on their AI tech. They told me 11% of all trades were automatic. It is very complicated to explain how it worked, but it was extremely alarming to me because there were no effective guardrails to prevent emergent escalation effects and market collapse. This was over 10 years ago so maybe it is safer, but I don’t think so.

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • urlyman@mastodon.socialU urlyman@mastodon.social

      @impactology capital evaporated in 2008. It will do so again

      @Npars01

      impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
      impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
      impactology@mastodon.social
      wrote sidst redigeret af
      #18

      @urlyman @Npars01 By then the damage will be done, people can't stop their lives and wait for that. You have to live and adapt

      Already recruiters and hiring mangers are clueless on evaluating skills, its going to get even worse when they insist on evaluating AI tool use. Ones who already are senior level don't have to worry because they already have a track record and prestige, ones that are entering the field now are scrambling

      urlyman@mastodon.socialU fasterandworse@hci.socialF 2 Replies Last reply
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      • impactology@mastodon.socialI impactology@mastodon.social

        @Npars01 @meltedcheese

        For businesses its really simple to judge its value : if it saves more money than it costs to use it, otherwise dump it

        meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
        meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
        meltedcheese@c.im
        wrote sidst redigeret af
        #19

        @impactology @Npars01 There are some domains where decision-making requires processing massive amounts of data and/or require decisions in fractions of a second. People cannot handle this work, they can’t even be in the loop. These are the problem domains most suited to AI-based automation. The value depends a lot on what the problem is that AI is solving. There is no question AI is delivering value well above its cost. That means it will be adopted more and more widely. No doubt in my mind.

        impactology@mastodon.socialI 1 Reply Last reply
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        • impactology@mastodon.socialI impactology@mastodon.social

          @urlyman @Npars01 By then the damage will be done, people can't stop their lives and wait for that. You have to live and adapt

          Already recruiters and hiring mangers are clueless on evaluating skills, its going to get even worse when they insist on evaluating AI tool use. Ones who already are senior level don't have to worry because they already have a track record and prestige, ones that are entering the field now are scrambling

          urlyman@mastodon.socialU This user is from outside of this forum
          urlyman@mastodon.socialU This user is from outside of this forum
          urlyman@mastodon.social
          wrote sidst redigeret af
          #20

          @impactology I’m lucky in that I don’t because I’m in my 60s. My generation and the one after me is pumping a huge river of shit on young people. I hope they find ways to stay out of its strongest currents, because submitting to them will wash them away

          @Npars01

          https://mastodon.social/@urlyman/115528012100649771

          impactology@mastodon.socialI 1 Reply Last reply
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          • meltedcheese@c.imM meltedcheese@c.im

            @impactology @Npars01 There are some domains where decision-making requires processing massive amounts of data and/or require decisions in fractions of a second. People cannot handle this work, they can’t even be in the loop. These are the problem domains most suited to AI-based automation. The value depends a lot on what the problem is that AI is solving. There is no question AI is delivering value well above its cost. That means it will be adopted more and more widely. No doubt in my mind.

            impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
            impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
            impactology@mastodon.social
            wrote sidst redigeret af
            #21

            @meltedcheese @Npars01

            Manufacturing, logistics, aviation, food safety and finance right? For example Import-export trade compliance software for shipping?

            https://mastodon.social/@impactology/115912577302179967

            Or any of these domains below?

            meltedcheese@c.imM 2 Replies Last reply
            0
            • impactology@mastodon.socialI impactology@mastodon.social

              @urlyman @Npars01 By then the damage will be done, people can't stop their lives and wait for that. You have to live and adapt

              Already recruiters and hiring mangers are clueless on evaluating skills, its going to get even worse when they insist on evaluating AI tool use. Ones who already are senior level don't have to worry because they already have a track record and prestige, ones that are entering the field now are scrambling

              fasterandworse@hci.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
              fasterandworse@hci.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
              fasterandworse@hci.social
              wrote sidst redigeret af
              #22

              @impactology @urlyman @Npars01 being senior holds no weight if you aren’t toeing the line

              impactology@mastodon.socialI 1 Reply Last reply
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              • urlyman@mastodon.socialU urlyman@mastodon.social

                @impactology I’m lucky in that I don’t because I’m in my 60s. My generation and the one after me is pumping a huge river of shit on young people. I hope they find ways to stay out of its strongest currents, because submitting to them will wash them away

                @Npars01

                https://mastodon.social/@urlyman/115528012100649771

                impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                impactology@mastodon.social
                wrote sidst redigeret af
                #23

                @urlyman @Npars01

                Specifically your generation's C-suite folks and they don't even have to worry about pumping shit coz they'll get their kids prestigious internships via the side door anyway.

                urlyman@mastodon.socialU 1 Reply Last reply
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                • fasterandworse@hci.socialF fasterandworse@hci.social

                  @impactology @urlyman @Npars01 being senior holds no weight if you aren’t toeing the line

                  impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                  impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                  impactology@mastodon.social
                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                  #24

                  @fasterandworse @urlyman @Npars01

                  Sure but you have a referral network to vouch for you for a job opening so you can bypass the getting screened from 1000 of applicants based on shiny college logos part and get straight to the interview

                  fasterandworse@hci.socialF 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • impactology@mastodon.socialI impactology@mastodon.social

                    @fasterandworse @urlyman @Npars01

                    Sure but you have a referral network to vouch for you for a job opening so you can bypass the getting screened from 1000 of applicants based on shiny college logos part and get straight to the interview

                    fasterandworse@hci.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                    fasterandworse@hci.socialF This user is from outside of this forum
                    fasterandworse@hci.social
                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                    #25

                    @impactology @urlyman @Npars01 I hear you but I'm referring to the roles themselves. I admire your positive perspective but the word "adapt" is the problematic load-bearer here.

                    impactology@mastodon.socialI 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • fasterandworse@hci.socialF fasterandworse@hci.social

                      @impactology @urlyman @Npars01 I hear you but I'm referring to the roles themselves. I admire your positive perspective but the word "adapt" is the problematic load-bearer here.

                      impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                      impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                      impactology@mastodon.social
                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                      #26

                      @fasterandworse @urlyman @Npars01

                      Ah got it, yes you're right.

                      Stephen you guys should sell courses, seriously all that tacit expertise on framing problems, finding errors, preventing them and fixing it. All that pre-ai needs to be preserved and taught. The books aren't cutting it because they are too template-y

                      impactology@mastodon.socialI 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • impactology@mastodon.socialI impactology@mastodon.social

                        @urlyman @Npars01

                        Specifically your generation's C-suite folks and they don't even have to worry about pumping shit coz they'll get their kids prestigious internships via the side door anyway.

                        urlyman@mastodon.socialU This user is from outside of this forum
                        urlyman@mastodon.socialU This user is from outside of this forum
                        urlyman@mastodon.social
                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                        #27

                        @impactology yep

                        @Npars01

                        https://mastodon.social/@urlyman/115915898771966907

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • impactology@mastodon.socialI impactology@mastodon.social

                          @fasterandworse @urlyman @Npars01

                          Ah got it, yes you're right.

                          Stephen you guys should sell courses, seriously all that tacit expertise on framing problems, finding errors, preventing them and fixing it. All that pre-ai needs to be preserved and taught. The books aren't cutting it because they are too template-y

                          impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                          impactology@mastodon.socialI This user is from outside of this forum
                          impactology@mastodon.social
                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                          #28

                          @fasterandworse @urlyman @Npars01

                          Vitaly Friedman for example is totally killing it

                          https://x.com/vitalyf/status/2007729848891126098

                          We need you seniors to be loud and open on social media talking about solving complex problems, because currently its being dominated by AI hype bros and landing page designers

                          urlyman@mastodon.socialU 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • impactology@mastodon.socialI impactology@mastodon.social

                            @fasterandworse @urlyman @Npars01

                            Vitaly Friedman for example is totally killing it

                            https://x.com/vitalyf/status/2007729848891126098

                            We need you seniors to be loud and open on social media talking about solving complex problems, because currently its being dominated by AI hype bros and landing page designers

                            urlyman@mastodon.socialU This user is from outside of this forum
                            urlyman@mastodon.socialU This user is from outside of this forum
                            urlyman@mastodon.social
                            wrote sidst redigeret af
                            #29

                            @impactology the future of UI is less complex, but we will explore making it more complicated first 😉

                            @fasterandworse @Npars01

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • impactology@mastodon.socialI impactology@mastodon.social

                              @meltedcheese @Npars01

                              Manufacturing, logistics, aviation, food safety and finance right? For example Import-export trade compliance software for shipping?

                              https://mastodon.social/@impactology/115912577302179967

                              Or any of these domains below?

                              meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                              meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                              meltedcheese@c.im
                              wrote sidst redigeret af
                              #30

                              @impactology @Npars01 I recently learned about a similar problem in health care insurance billing. It has become so complicated and time consuming that (US) providers now use specialists who know what works, and that is not the same as what is correct. But you’d have to match improvements on the insurance side also because now they’ve accommodated to getting wrong answers. It’s a costly mess.

                              npars01@mstdn.socialN 1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • impactology@mastodon.socialI impactology@mastodon.social

                                @meltedcheese @Npars01

                                Manufacturing, logistics, aviation, food safety and finance right? For example Import-export trade compliance software for shipping?

                                https://mastodon.social/@impactology/115912577302179967

                                Or any of these domains below?

                                meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                                meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                                meltedcheese@c.im
                                wrote sidst redigeret af
                                #31

                                @impactology @Npars01 I’m familiar with use of #AI in the first three domains you mention. One of my own inventions was licensed by a big pharmaceutical company to automate a factory. In general, logistics and supply chain in nearly every industry are fertile areas as well. You don’t hear about those successful applications because the terminology for the tech used is typically more precise (e.g., “constraint satisfaction”) and thus harder to explain to non-experts. This is antithetical to hype.

                                npars01@mstdn.socialN impactology@mastodon.socialI 2 Replies Last reply
                                0
                                • meltedcheese@c.imM meltedcheese@c.im

                                  @impactology @Npars01 I recently learned about a similar problem in health care insurance billing. It has become so complicated and time consuming that (US) providers now use specialists who know what works, and that is not the same as what is correct. But you’d have to match improvements on the insurance side also because now they’ve accommodated to getting wrong answers. It’s a costly mess.

                                  npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                                  npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                                  npars01@mstdn.social
                                  wrote sidst redigeret af
                                  #32

                                  @meltedcheese @impactology

                                  Based on the numbers of use cases for AI, frauds & scams appear to be the most used.

                                  More than one pundit has observed that Silicon Valley isn't in the "innovation" industry.

                                  It's in the "fake it, until you make it" smoke & mirrors vaporware industry.

                                  It sucks up venture capital cash and produces lies more than products.
                                  https://www.businessinsider.com/venture-capital-big-tech-antitrust-predatory-pricing-uber-wework-bird-2023-7

                                  https://doctorow.medium.com/https-pluralistic-net-2024-05-30-posiwid-social-cost-of-carbon-ea59fe4ba150

                                  https://www.sacbee.com/opinion/op-ed/article312606310.html

                                  https://medium.com/@sohail_saifi/silicon-valleys-dirty-secret-the-real-reason-startups-fail-it-s-not-what-you-think-fdc75d69ba0e

                                  https://www.panewslab.com/en/articles/fbcc6570-210b-49d4-946e-27b46c4a836d

                                  meltedcheese@c.imM 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • npars01@mstdn.socialN npars01@mstdn.social

                                    @meltedcheese @impactology

                                    Based on the numbers of use cases for AI, frauds & scams appear to be the most used.

                                    More than one pundit has observed that Silicon Valley isn't in the "innovation" industry.

                                    It's in the "fake it, until you make it" smoke & mirrors vaporware industry.

                                    It sucks up venture capital cash and produces lies more than products.
                                    https://www.businessinsider.com/venture-capital-big-tech-antitrust-predatory-pricing-uber-wework-bird-2023-7

                                    https://doctorow.medium.com/https-pluralistic-net-2024-05-30-posiwid-social-cost-of-carbon-ea59fe4ba150

                                    https://www.sacbee.com/opinion/op-ed/article312606310.html

                                    https://medium.com/@sohail_saifi/silicon-valleys-dirty-secret-the-real-reason-startups-fail-it-s-not-what-you-think-fdc75d69ba0e

                                    https://www.panewslab.com/en/articles/fbcc6570-210b-49d4-946e-27b46c4a836d

                                    meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                                    meltedcheese@c.imM This user is from outside of this forum
                                    meltedcheese@c.im
                                    wrote sidst redigeret af
                                    #33

                                    @Npars01 @impactology Vaporware is a constant problem, from my POV. I’d call that business fraud. AI is no different than many other technologies or business models based on hype. Unfortunately, hype sometimes does pay off in the short term so it persists.

                                    npars01@mstdn.socialN 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • meltedcheese@c.imM meltedcheese@c.im

                                      @impactology @Npars01 I’m familiar with use of #AI in the first three domains you mention. One of my own inventions was licensed by a big pharmaceutical company to automate a factory. In general, logistics and supply chain in nearly every industry are fertile areas as well. You don’t hear about those successful applications because the terminology for the tech used is typically more precise (e.g., “constraint satisfaction”) and thus harder to explain to non-experts. This is antithetical to hype.

                                      npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                                      npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                                      npars01@mstdn.social
                                      wrote sidst redigeret af
                                      #34

                                      @meltedcheese @impactology

                                      https://gijn.org/stories/gijc25-uncover-transnational-scam-operations/

                                      https://www.fastcompany.com/91460661/deepfakes-business-supply-chain-risk-executives

                                      https://www.cfo.com/news/advanced-generative-ai-cyber-fraud-rose-118-last-year/739157/

                                      https://www.reuters.com/practical-law-the-journal/transactional/ai-supply-chain-2025-06-01/

                                      https://globalinitiative.net/analysis/minimizing-risks-of-criminal-exposure-to-scam-compounds-in-corporate-supply-chains/

                                      https://www.techradar.com/pro/how-phishing-attacks-are-hitting-the-supply-chain-and-how-to-fight-back

                                      https://www.globaltrademag.com/supply-chain-instability-opens-the-door-to-ai-powered-fraud/

                                      https://securitybrief.com.au/story/australian-businesses-lose-aud-2-03-billion-as-ai-scams-surge

                                      https://www.paymentsjournal.com/the-payment-process-the-supply-chains-most-overlooked-cyber-risk/

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • meltedcheese@c.imM meltedcheese@c.im

                                        @Npars01 @impactology Vaporware is a constant problem, from my POV. I’d call that business fraud. AI is no different than many other technologies or business models based on hype. Unfortunately, hype sometimes does pay off in the short term so it persists.

                                        npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                                        npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                                        npars01@mstdn.social
                                        wrote sidst redigeret af
                                        #35

                                        @meltedcheese @impactology

                                        Knew which side AI initiatives had joined when Koch announced funding for forced user adoption for "economic mobility".
                                        https://www.forbes.com/sites/mattdurot/2025/07/17/bill-gates-charles-koch-and-three-other-billionaires-are-giving-1-billion-to-enhance-economic-mobility-in-the-us/

                                        Charles Koch spent the last 50 years immiserating the middle & working classes, ending democracy, & frying the planet.

                                        He & his ilk are completely indifferent to anyone but themselves.

                                        If he's spending money on coercing AI adoption, we know why. More of the same, but faster.

                                        https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/20/us/politics/koch-network-2024-election-trump.html

                                        O 1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • npars01@mstdn.socialN npars01@mstdn.social

                                          @meltedcheese @impactology

                                          Knew which side AI initiatives had joined when Koch announced funding for forced user adoption for "economic mobility".
                                          https://www.forbes.com/sites/mattdurot/2025/07/17/bill-gates-charles-koch-and-three-other-billionaires-are-giving-1-billion-to-enhance-economic-mobility-in-the-us/

                                          Charles Koch spent the last 50 years immiserating the middle & working classes, ending democracy, & frying the planet.

                                          He & his ilk are completely indifferent to anyone but themselves.

                                          If he's spending money on coercing AI adoption, we know why. More of the same, but faster.

                                          https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/20/us/politics/koch-network-2024-election-trump.html

                                          O This user is from outside of this forum
                                          O This user is from outside of this forum
                                          opus42@mastodon.social
                                          wrote sidst redigeret af
                                          #36

                                          @Npars01 @meltedcheese @impactology

                                          This is ridiculous. An AI app to "help" poor people?

                                          What people need is affordable, safe, clean housing, with long-term leases or reasonable mortgages. Then once they have this financial and mental stability, the people can take it from there, themselves. They don't need a phone app that exploits them and sells their personal data.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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